Emerging Road-Harm Hotspots

This layer asks a different question: not just where total harm is highest, but where road harm appears to be getting worse now.

Comparison: baseline period 2012-2019 versus recent period 2022-2025. Metrics are annualised to make periods more comparable.

Caveat: This is a statistical screening layer. It identifies worsening patterns for review and does not assign causation, legal fault or treatment responsibility.

Browse council reports Back to home

Statewide worsening overview

Top worsening councils

Council	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr	Recent crashes
Greater Geelong	Major worsening	4156.4	4881.1	724.7	2,373
Casey	Major worsening	3975.1	4656.9	681.8	3,002
Melton	Major worsening	1774.0	2480.8	706.8	1,530
Whittlesea	Major worsening	2460.8	2901.6	440.8	1,893
Hume	Major worsening	3007.0	3319.6	312.6	2,465
Ballarat	Major worsening	1419.1	1625.2	206.1	1,108
Wyndham	Major worsening	2384.6	2616.5	232.0	1,778
Baw Baw	Major worsening	1158.3	1384.5	226.2	713
Moyne	Major worsening	587.7	855.6	267.9	211
Mitchell	Major worsening	1131.1	1346.4	215.2	586
Moira	Major worsening	871.3	1104.4	233.1	280
Surf Coast	Major worsening	831.0	998.1	167.1	363
Corangamite	Major worsening	769.6	942.8	173.1	212
Mildura	Major worsening	782.5	933.1	150.6	388
Colac Otway	Major worsening	865.4	995.5	130.1	337
Campaspe	Major worsening	981.1	1143.3	162.2	367
Wodonga	Major worsening	473.9	613.8	139.9	289
Hobsons Bay	Major worsening	1123.1	1256.8	133.7	897
Greater Bendigo	Watch	1965.0	1955.5	-9.6	1,167
Latrobe	Strong worsening	1235.8	1280.9	45.1	524

Top worsening crash mechanisms

Council	Mechanism	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr
Casey	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	1672.3	2120.2	447.9
Greater Geelong	Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	642.2	1027.1	384.9
Greater Geelong	Rear-end / same-lane conflict	Major worsening	513.8	786.9	273.1
Melton	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	639.0	926.0	287.1
Hume	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	1111.3	1320.8	209.5
Greater Shepparton	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	812.0	1081.1	269.1
Greater Geelong	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	1833.4	1874.5	41.2
Whittlesea	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	966.1	1149.3	183.2
Melton	Rear-end / same-lane conflict	Major worsening	264.1	451.4	187.3
Brimbank	Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	544.3	694.2	149.9
Casey	Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	572.8	724.2	151.4
Wyndham	Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	410.6	570.2	159.6
Colac Otway	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	374.9	508.6	133.7
Hume	Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	422.9	546.2	123.3
Casey	Rear-end / same-lane conflict	Major worsening	723.6	840.9	117.3
Campaspe	Run-off-road / loss-of-control	Major worsening	187.8	342.3	154.5
Wyndham	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	963.0	1046.9	84.0
Corangamite	Turning / crossing conflict	Major worsening	226.8	363.4	136.6
Hepburn	Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	46.6	206.8	160.1
Whittlesea	Rear-end / same-lane conflict	Major worsening	417.1	537.0	119.9

Top worsening locations

Council	Location	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr	Recent FSI
Moira	MURRAY VALLEY HIGHWAY / STOKES ROAD	Major worsening	2.6	167.6	165.0	10
Greater Shepparton	COSGROVE-LEMNOS ROAD / PINE LODGE NORTH ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.3	112.8	111.5	7
Mansfield	MANSFIELD-WOODS POINT ROAD / ASHWIN ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	107.3	107.3	5
Indigo	HUME FREEWAY / OLD CEMETERY ROAD	Major worsening	17.0	110.2	93.2	6
Ararat	WESTERN HIGHWAY / HILLSIDE ROAD	Major worsening	6.3	89.8	83.6	7
Corangamite	HAMILTON HIGHWAY / FOXHOW-BERRYBANK ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	65.8	65.7	7
Moyne	PRINCES HIGHWAY / GORMANS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.4	62.9	62.5	6
Greater Geelong	GEELONG RING ROAD / CREAMERY ROAD	Major worsening	4.4	65.5	61.2	7
Moira	KATAMATITE-NATHALIA ROAD / CHAPEL STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	60.0	60.0	5
Hobsons Bay	WEST GATE FREEWAY / WEST GATE OUT-MELBOURNE OF RAMP	Major worsening	6.3	65.3	59.0	6
Hindmarsh	WESTERN HIGHWAY / PETSCHELS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.3	58.5	58.2	4
Murrindindi	MARYSVILLE-WOODS POINT ROAD / TOMMYS BEND ROAD	Major worsening	18.0	71.5	53.5	9
Golden Plains	STEIGLITZ-SHE OAKS ROAD / STIRLING ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	57.7	57.7	4
Melton	WESTERN FREEWAY / CLARKE ROAD	Major worsening	4.3	61.4	57.1	5
Hume	HUME FREEWAY / AMAROO-HUME IN ON RAMP	Major worsening	4.0	60.8	56.8	5
Manningham	DONCASTER-ELTHAM ROAD / FITZSIMONS LANE	Emerging from low baseline	1.3	58.0	56.7	4
Moorabool	WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN IN-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	1.6	47.5	45.9	16
Melton	BOUNDARY ROAD / DAVIS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	52.2	52.2	9
Casey	GLASSCOCKS ROAD / SHERWOOD ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	56.1	56.1	3
Yarra	HODDLE STREET / JOHNSTON STREET	Strong worsening	25.8	74.9	49.2	10
Strathbogie	HUME FREEWAY / MEADES LANE	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	54.8	54.8	3
Ballarat	BALLARAT-CARNGHAM ROAD / FINCHS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.1	48.0	46.9	9
Wyndham	HEATHS ROAD / DERRIMUT ROAD	Major worsening	6.0	59.3	53.3	4
Nillumbik	ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-ST ANDREWS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	53.3	53.1	2
Maroondah	DORSET ROAD / LEIGH ROAD	Major worsening	2.9	54.8	52.0	3
Moira	MURRAY VALLEY HIGHWAY / WHITES ROAD	Major worsening	4.0	56.7	52.7	3
Melton	EXFORD ROAD / MURPHYS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	45.2	45.2	13
Melbourne	ELGIN STREET / LYGON STREET	Strong worsening	9.6	53.8	44.2	11
Hume	CAMP ROAD / MAYGAR BOULEVARD	Strong worsening	13.9	61.1	47.2	5
Whittlesea	HIGH STREET / AUSTARC AVENUE	Major worsening	2.8	53.8	51.0	2
Greater Dandenong	ATHOL ROAD / SPRINGVALE ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.6	45.9	44.3	8
Brimbank	WESTERN RING ROAD / WESTERN RING IN-WESTERN OF RAMP	Strong worsening	8.3	45.9	37.7	16
Whittlesea	EPPING ROAD / SUMMERHILL ROAD	Strong worsening	5.1	48.6	43.4	9
Knox	KELLETTS ROAD / BLAXLAND DRIVE	Strong worsening	3.9	52.7	48.9	2
Knox	FERNTREE GULLY ROAD / FERNTREE GULLY ROAD	Strong worsening	11.3	59.0	47.8	4
Wangaratta	BEECHWORTH-WANGARATTA ROAD / MCCLAY ROAD	Strong worsening	16.5	60.3	43.8	5
Whittlesea	MAHONEYS ROAD / LAWSON CRESCENT	Emerging from low baseline	1.5	42.8	41.3	7
Campaspe	NORTHERN HIGHWAY / PASCOE STREET	Strong worsening	20.1	62.7	42.5	6
Casey	CLYDE ROAD / ENTERPRISE AVENUE	Strong worsening	6.4	46.2	39.8	8
Cardinia	PRINCES HIGHWAY / WINDERMERE BOULEVARD	Emerging from low baseline	0.4	40.7	40.4	6
Greater Geelong	PORTARLINGTON ROAD / WHITEHORSE ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.3	35.0	33.7	13
Baw Baw	WALHALLA ROAD / HAPPY GO LUCKY ROAD	Strong worsening	2.6	42.0	39.4	7
Golden Plains	ROKEWOOD-SKIPTON ROAD / PITFIELD-SCARSDALE ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	39.7	39.7	6
Greater Geelong	GEELONG RING ROAD / GEELONG RING IN-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	39.4	39.4	6
Melton	WESTERN FREEWAY / MOUNT COTTRELL ROAD	Strong worsening	34.5	72.1	37.5	8
Glen Eira	NORTH ROAD / THOMAS STREET	Strong worsening	18.8	58.2	39.5	4
Ballarat	FINCHS ROAD / GREENHALGHS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	40.5	40.3	5
Casey	BAXTER-TOORADIN ROAD / CRAIGS LANE	Strong worsening	5.8	44.9	39.2	7
Merri-bek	BELL STREET / DAVIS STREET	Emerging from low baseline	1.5	39.7	38.2	6
Whittlesea	EPPING-KILMORE ROAD / EPPING ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.8	39.4	37.7	6

Top worsening vulnerable-road-user locations

Council	Location	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr
Hepburn	HOWE STREET / ALBERT STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	144.1	144.1
Knox	COLEMAN ROAD / BINDI STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	57.4	57.4
Moyne	PRINCES HIGHWAY / GORMANS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	54.8	54.8
Hume	HUME FREEWAY / AMAROO-HUME IN ON RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	52.2	52.2
Wyndham	HEATHS ROAD / DERRIMUT ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.4	52.2	50.8
Boroondara	BURGESS STREET / TOORONGA ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	39.4	39.4
Yarra	HODDLE STREET / JOHNSTON STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	39.4	39.3
Melbourne	ELGIN STREET / LYGON STREET	Strong worsening	6.0	40.2	34.2
Wyndham	BOUNDARY ROAD / BOUNDARY ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	33.9	33.9
Port Phillip	KINGS WAY / YORK STREET	Emerging from low baseline	1.4	33.9	32.6
Stonnington	UNNAMED NONE	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.6	31.6
Casey	BELGRAVE-HALLAM ROAD / MACKELLAR CLOSE	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.3	31.3
Whittlesea	DALTON ROAD / GUILA COURT	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.3	31.3
Whitehorse	SPRINGFIELD ROAD / WILLIAMS ROAD	Strong worsening	4.0	33.9	29.9
Mornington Peninsula	POINT NEPEAN ROAD / POINT NEPEAN ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.8	31.3	29.6
Port Phillip	PLUMMER STREET / SALMON STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	29.2	29.1
Greater Dandenong	DANDENONG VALLEY HIGHWAY / STUD ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.0	29.0
Greater Dandenong	PRINCES HIGHWAY / SMITH ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.0	29.0
Moira	GOULBURN VALLEY HIGHWAY / GILLESPIES ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.0	29.0
Baw Baw	WATERLOO ROAD / WATERLOO ALT ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	29.0	28.9
Brimbank	BALLARAT ROAD / ANDERSON ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	28.7	28.7
Brimbank	SUNSHINE AVENUE / WESTERN RING IN-SUNSHINE OF RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	28.7	28.7
Casey	CLYDE ROAD / ENTERPRISE AVENUE	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	28.7	28.7
Greater Dandenong	HEATHERTON ROAD / JASPER STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	28.7	28.7
Greater Geelong	RESERVE ROAD / DIAZ DRIVE	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	28.7	28.7

Top worsening heavy-vehicle locations

Council	Location	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr
Moira	MURRAY VALLEY HIGHWAY / STOKES ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.4	131.1	129.7
Indigo	HUME FREEWAY / OLD CEMETERY ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	109.9	109.9
Ararat	WESTERN HIGHWAY / OLD BREWERY ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	78.8	78.8
Moorabool	WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN IN-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	46.7	46.7
Moyne	PRINCES HIGHWAY / GORMANS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	54.8	54.8
Yarriambiack	PATCHEWOLLOCK-SEA LAKE ROAD / MITCHELLS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	54.8	54.8
Yarriambiack	WIMMERA HIGHWAY / DELAHUNTYS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	54.8	54.8
Greater Bendigo	MIDLAND HIGHWAY / TYSONS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	52.5	52.5
Swan Hill	ROBINVALE-SEA LAKE ROAD / CHINKAPOOK-NYAH WEST ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	52.5	52.5
Ballarat	WESTERN HIGHWAY / REMEMBRANCE DRIVE	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	36.8	36.8
Surf Coast	DEANS MARSH-LORNE ROAD / CARRONG TRACK	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	33.9	33.9
Hobsons Bay	WEST GATE FREEWAY / WEST GATE OUT-MELBOURNE OF RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	1.4	35.0	33.6
Whittlesea	EPPING ROAD / SUMMERHILL ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.3	34.5	33.2
Baw Baw	PRINCES FREEWAY / PRINCES IN-DROUIN-WARRAGUL OF RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	32.4	32.4
Hobsons Bay	WEST GATE FREEWAY / WEST GATE TUNNEL	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.9	31.9
Surf Coast	ANGLESEA ROAD / MOORES ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.6	31.6
Strathbogie	HUME FREEWAY / OXENBURYS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.3	31.3
Yarra Ranges	MAROONDAH HIGHWAY / HILL ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.3	31.3
Melton	EXFORD ROAD / MURPHYS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	28.5	28.5
Casey	TYABB-TOORADIN ROAD / CALLANANS LANE	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.2	29.2
Manningham	MANNINGHAM ROAD / BULLEEN ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.2	29.2
Mildura	DEAKIN AVENUE / SIXTEENTH STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.2	29.2
Moorabool	DIGGERS REST-COIMADAI ROAD / RESERVOIR ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.2	29.2
Bass Coast	BASS HIGHWAY / HESLOP ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.0	29.0
Buloke	BOORT-CHARLTON ROAD / CALDER HIGHWAY	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.0	29.0