MO Council

Moorabool Road Harm Intelligence Report

Fatal and injury crash patterns, vulnerable road-user harm, heavy-vehicle involvement, SCATS exposure matching and TIRTL freight-conflict matching.

51 fatalities 791 serious injuries 433 VRU crash records 106 heavy-vehicle crash records

1,458

Crash records

Fatalities

791

Serious injuries

1,175

Other injuries

14,185

Weighted harm score

60.1

Priority score

Method caveat: This is a public-interest analytical report. It is not an engineering safety audit. Locations should be treated as candidates for further review.

Safety diagnosis

This section diagnoses the type of road-harm problem in Moorabool by crash mechanism, road environment, vulnerable-road-user involvement and heavy-vehicle involvement.

14,185

Weighted harm score

842

Fatal + serious injuries

4.2%

VRU share of harm

14.2%

Heavy-vehicle share of harm

77.1%

High-speed road harm share

18.3%

Intersection harm share

Plain-English diagnosis: Moorabool recorded 1,458 injury crash records, 51 fatalities and 791 serious injuries in the analysis period. The leading harm mechanism family is Turning / crossing conflict. Heavy-vehicle-involved crashes account for 14.2% of weighted harm, indicating a freight/conflict layer worth local review. High-speed roads account for 77.1% of weighted harm. Dark, dawn or dusk conditions account for 34.7% of weighted harm.

Top harm mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Turning / crossing conflict	435	276	4,367	30.8%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	389	195	3,117	22.0%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	110	110	2,903	20.5%
Other / mixed mechanism	224	97	1,517	10.7%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	142	70	1,053	7.4%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	101	67	922	6.5%
Pedestrian conflict	30	14	158	1.1%
Object / roadside impact	27	13	148	1.0%

Top fatal/serious mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Turning / crossing conflict	229	276	4,099	31.0%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	172	195	2,880	21.7%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	69	110	2,850	21.5%
Other / mixed mechanism	80	97	1,350	10.2%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	47	70	922	7.0%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	58	67	872	6.6%
Pedestrian conflict	13	14	140	1.1%
Object / roadside impact	11	13	130	1.0%

Vulnerable road-user mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Other / mixed mechanism	32	14	342	57.5%
Pedestrian conflict	30	14	158	26.6%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	8	4	44	7.4%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	2	2	20	3.4%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	2	1	14	2.4%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	1	1	10	1.7%
Turning / crossing conflict	6	0	7	1.2%

Heavy-vehicle mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	19	20	754	37.4%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	22	29	422	20.9%
Other / mixed mechanism	20	14	332	16.5%
Turning / crossing conflict	26	18	285	14.1%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	12	8	178	8.8%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	4	2	24	1.2%
Pedestrian conflict	2	2	20	1.0%
Object / roadside impact	1	0	1	0.0%

Speed-zone harm profile

Speed category	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
High-speed roads (80+ km/h)	899	619	10,943	77.1%
Urban arterial roads (60–70 km/h)	192	87	1,307	9.2%
Local streets (50 km/h)	153	58	881	6.2%
Unknown speed zone	183	50	732	5.2%
Low-speed streets (≤40 km/h)	31	28	322	2.3%

Road-geometry harm profile

Road geometry	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Midblock / not at intersection	1,113	665	11,547	81.4%
Intersection	338	173	2,592	18.3%
Unknown geometry	6	3	36	0.3%
Other geometry	1	1	10	0.1%

Lighting harm profile

Lighting	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Daylight	992	537	9,069	63.9%
Dark / street lights	321	216	3,652	25.7%
Dawn / dusk	124	80	1,270	9.0%
Other lighting	21	9	194	1.4%

Top detailed crash descriptions

Detailed crash description	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
HEAD ON (NOT OVERTAKING)	81	93	2,340	16.5%
LEFT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	149	93	1,659	11.7%
RIGHT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	108	75	1,174	8.3%
REAR END(VEHICLES IN SAME LANE)	140	69	1,041	7.3%
OFF RIGHT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	69	45	860	6.1%
OFF LEFT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	84	60	828	5.8%
CROSS TRAFFIC(INTERSECTIONS ONLY)	63	46	622	4.4%
OUT OF CONTROL ON CARRIAGEWAY (ON STRAIGHT)	117	45	619	4.4%

Caveat: This is a public-interest diagnostic layer. It identifies patterns for review and does not assign legal fault, engineering causation or treatment responsibility.

Emerging hotspots and worsening trends

This section compares recent road harm against the long-run baseline to identify patterns that may be getting worse.

Plain-English signal: Moorabool's recent annualised harm rate is 1085.8 versus a baseline annualised rate of 1066.1, a change of 19.7 harm-score points per year.

Open full Moorabool emerging-hotspots page Statewide emerging-hotspots index

Top local worsening locations

Location	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr	Recent FSI
WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN IN-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP	Emerging from low baseline	1.6	47.5	45.9	16
NEROWIE ROAD / PARWAN SOUTH ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.3	37.1	35.8	5
DIGGERS REST-COIMADAI ROAD / RESERVOIR ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.5	29.5	2
BUNGAREE-CRESWICK ROAD / SPRINGBANK ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.2	29.2	2
WESTERN FREEWAY / CARTONS ROAD	Moderate worsening	29.4	46.7	17.3	8
GREENDALE-TRENTHAM ROAD / LONG GULLY ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.5	15.9	15.4	6
WESTERN FREEWAY / RACECOURSE ROAD	Moderate worsening	29.0	40.2	11.2	6
BALLARAT-DAYLESFORD ROAD / MADDERNS ROAD	Moderate worsening	13.4	26.6	13.3	1

Worsening mechanism families

Mechanism	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	Major worsening	46.1	141.8	95.6
Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	104.4	160.6	56.2
Turning / crossing conflict	Strong worsening	313.4	334.2	20.8
Object / roadside impact	Strong worsening	8.3	17.2	9.0
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	Watch	76.0	67.4	-8.7

Comparison period

Baseline: 2012-2019
Recent: 2022-2025

Metrics are annualised. This is a statistical screening layer, not an engineering safety audit.

Vulnerable Road User Atlas

This section focuses on pedestrian, bicyclist, motorcyclist, school-age pedestrian/cyclist and older-pedestrian harm patterns where fields are available.

Plain-English VRU signature: Moorabool recorded 81 vulnerable-road-user crash records, 2 fatalities and 34 serious injuries. VRU crashes account for 5.6% of all recorded injury crashes and 4.2% of weighted harm. The largest VRU count group is pedestrians. School-age pedestrian/cyclist flags appear in 20 records. Older-pedestrian flags appear in 12 records.

Open full Moorabool VRU atlas page Statewide VRU atlas

VRU type breakdown

VRU type	Harm	FSI	Crashes
Pedestrian	445	23	53
Bicyclist	150	13	28
Older pedestrian	149	5	12
School-age pedestrian/cyclist	94	8	20
Motorcyclist	0	0	0

VRU mechanism families

Mechanism	Harm	FSI	Crashes
Other / mixed mechanism	409	20	45
Turning / crossing conflict	87	7	21
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	44	4	8
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	31	3	4
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	14	1	2
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	10	1	1

Top local VRU locations

Location	Harm	FSI	Crashes	Ped	Bike
OLD MELBOURNE ROAD / LLANDEILO LANE Open map	100	1	1	1	0
WESTERN FREEWAY / CARTONS ROAD Open map	100	1	1	1	0
GRIFFITH STREET / MCCRAE STREET Open map	20	2	2	2	0
BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / TIPPERARY FLATS Open map	20	2	1	0	1
INGLIS STREET / GRIFFITH STREET Open map	20	2	1	1	0
STATION STREET / BOND STREET Open map	13	1	4	3	1
YANKEE FLAT ROAD / FOOS LANE Open map	13	1	1	0	1
GISBORNE ROAD / BENNETT STREET Open map	12	1	3	2	1

Freight Conflict Index

This section focuses on heavy-vehicle crash harm, vulnerable-road-user overlap and TIRTL freight exposure where available.

Plain-English freight signature: Moorabool recorded 106 heavy-vehicle-involved crash records, 11 fatalities and 82 serious injuries. Heavy-vehicle crashes account for 14.2% of total weighted harm. There are 8 heavy-vehicle crashes overlapping with pedestrians, bicyclists or motorcyclists. No TIRTL-matched freight-corridor harm was available for this council in the current matching layer.

Open full Moorabool freight-conflict page Statewide Freight Conflict Index

TIRTL freight-conflict sites

No records available for this table.

HV mechanism families

Mechanism	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	HV+VRU
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	754	20	19	1
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	422	29	22	0
Other / mixed mechanism	342	15	21	4
Turning / crossing conflict	295	19	27	1
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	178	8	12	1
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	24	2	4	0

Top heavy-vehicle crash locations

Location	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	HV+VRU
WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN IN-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP Open map	179	16	2	0
WESTERN FREEWAY / CARTONS ROAD Open map	152	5	9	1
DIGGERS REST-COIMADAI ROAD / RESERVOIR ROAD Open map	112	2	1	0
GEELONG-BALLAN ROAD / MOUNT WALLACE HALL ROAD Open map	110	2	1	0
WESTERN FREEWAY / BACCHUS MARSH-GISBORNE-WESTERN IN ON RAMP Open map	101	1	2	1
WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN OUT-OLD MELBOURNE OF RAMP Open map	101	1	2	0

Freight / vulnerable-road-user overlap locations

Location	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	Ped	Bike	Moto
WESTERN FREEWAY / CARTONS ROAD Open map	152	5	9	1	0	0
WESTERN FREEWAY / BACCHUS MARSH-GISBORNE-WESTERN IN ON RAMP Open map	101	1	2	0	0	1
BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / TIPPERARY FLATS Open map	20	2	1	0	1	0

SCATS exposure-adjusted intersection league table

This section ranks signalised intersections by total road harm and by harm adjusted for observed SCATS movements.

Plain-English SCATS signal: No SCATS-matched signal-site exposure summary is available for this council.

Open full Moorabool SCATS league table Statewide SCATS intersection league table

Top local SCATS sites by combined priority

No SCATS records available for this table.

Top eligible local SCATS sites by harm rate

No SCATS records available for this table.

Moorabool crash map

Interactive self-contained Google Map showing crash records, fatal crashes, serious-injury crashes, vulnerable road-user crashes and heavy-vehicle crashes for this council area.

Map caveat: this is public-interest road-harm intelligence, not an engineering safety audit.

Open Moorabool crash map in a full page

Moorabool road-harm graphs

Large-format colour-coded graph pack showing this council's severity trend, harm composition, road-user involvement, top locations and exposure layers.

Annual severity trend

Crash records by year, stacked by fatal, serious injury and other injury severity.

Open full-size graph

Harm composition

Fatalities, serious injuries and other injuries in the official crash data.

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Road-user involvement

Pedestrian, bicycle, motorcycle and heavy-vehicle crash involvement.

Open full-size graph

Top crash locations by harm

Highest weighted-harm locations in this council area.

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Statewide priority comparison

Combined priority score and statewide rank compared with other councils.

Open full-size graph

Graph caveat: these are public-interest road-harm intelligence charts, not an engineering safety audit.

Moorabool Street View quick links

Click a link to inspect the road environment in a new browser tab.

Top crash locations — Street View

Location	Summary	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN FREEWAY / CARTONS ROAD	20 crashes; 3 fatal; 10 serious; harm 418	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN FREEWAY / RACECOURSE ROAD	17 crashes; 3 fatal; 9 serious; harm 399	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN FREEWAY / BACCHUS MARSH ROAD	24 crashes; 2 fatal; 13 serious; harm 350	Street View	Google Maps
GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / WILSONS LANE	6 crashes; 3 fatal; 4 serious; harm 344	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN FREEWAY / CHAPMANS ROAD	9 crashes; 2 fatal; 7 serious; harm 280	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN OUT-OLD MELBOURNE OF RAMP	20 crashes; 1 fatal; 12 serious; harm 235	Street View	Google Maps
GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / DAVIS ROAD	4 crashes; 2 fatal; 1 serious; harm 214	Street View	Google Maps
BALLARAT-DAYLESFORD ROAD / MADDERNS ROAD	8 crashes; 2 fatal; 0 serious; harm 214	Street View	Google Maps
GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / GLENMORE ROAD	23 crashes; 0 fatal; 18 serious; harm 196	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN IN-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP	8 crashes; 0 fatal; 17 serious; harm 195	Street View	Google Maps
GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / SCHOOL LANE	8 crashes; 1 fatal; 8 serious; harm 186	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN FREEWAY / HOPETOUN PARK ROAD	6 crashes; 1 fatal; 5 serious; harm 155	Street View	Google Maps

SCATS signal-site exposure layer — Street View

SCATS site	Summary	Street View	Google Maps
No Street View links available.

Top crash locations

Ranked by weighted harm score. Weighting: fatality ×100, serious injury ×10, other injury ×1.

Rank	Location	Crashes	Fatalities	Serious injuries	Other injuries	Harm score	HV crashes	Ped	Bike	Moto
1	WESTERN FREEWAY / CARTONS ROAD	20	3	10	18	418	9	1	0	2
2	WESTERN FREEWAY / RACECOURSE ROAD	17	3	9	9	399	1	0	0	4
3	WESTERN FREEWAY / BACCHUS MARSH ROAD	24	2	13	20	350	0	0	0	4
4	GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / WILSONS LANE	6	3	4	4	344	1	0	0	0
5	WESTERN FREEWAY / CHAPMANS ROAD	9	2	7	10	280	1	0	0	0
6	WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN OUT-OLD MELBOURNE OF RAMP	20	1	12	15	235	2	1	0	1
7	GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / DAVIS ROAD	4	2	1	4	214	0	0	0	0
8	BALLARAT-DAYLESFORD ROAD / MADDERNS ROAD	8	2	0	14	214	0	0	0	0
9	GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / GLENMORE ROAD	23	0	18	16	196	3	0	0	1
10	WESTERN FREEWAY / WESTERN IN-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP	8	0	17	25	195	2	0	0	2
11	GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / SCHOOL LANE	8	1	8	6	186	2	0	0	0
12	WESTERN FREEWAY / HOPETOUN PARK ROAD	6	1	5	5	155	1	0	0	0
13	BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / WESTERN OUT-BACCHUS MARSH OF RAMP	15	1	4	14	154	0	1	0	0
14	NEROWIE ROAD / PARWAN SOUTH ROAD	3	1	5	2	152	1	0	1	0
15	WESTERN FREEWAY / OLD MELBOURNE-WESTERN IN ON RAMP	8	1	4	6	146	2	0	0	1
16	WESTERN FREEWAY / ORMOND-WESTERN OUT ON RAMP	6	1	4	3	143	1	0	0	0
17	BACCHUS MARSH-GISBORNE ROAD / LEBREX ROAD	2	1	4	1	141	0	0	0	0
18	GEELONG-BALLAN ROAD / MOUNT WALLACE HALL ROAD	4	1	4	0	140	1	0	0	1
19	WESTERN FREEWAY / BACCHUS MARSH-GISBORNE-WESTERN IN ON RAMP	7	1	3	4	134	2	0	0	1
20	BALLAN-GREENDALE ROAD / GREENHILLS ROAD	5	1	3	2	132	0	0	0	0
21	BALLAN-DAYLESFORD ROAD / BACK SETTLEMENT ROAD	6	1	2	7	127	1	0	0	1
22	GEELONG-BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / SMITHS ROAD	3	1	2	3	123	1	0	0	0
23	BUNGAREE-CRESWICK ROAD / WATTLE FLAT ROAD	2	1	2	0	120	0	0	0	0
24	BACCHUS MARSH ROAD / WOOLPACK ROAD	15	0	10	16	116	1	0	0	0
25	GRANT STREET / SYDNEY STREET	4	1	1	6	116	0	1	0	1

SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Crash records matched to nearby SCATS sites using the selected proximity radius. This is a signal/intersection-adjacent view, not full road-network attribution.

No rows available.

TIRTL freight-conflict layer

Heavy-vehicle crash records matched to nearby TIRTL freight monitoring sites. This is a freight-corridor candidate layer.

No rows available.

Road-user summaries

Pedestrian crash records

Bicycle crash records

352

Motorcycle crash records

106

Heavy-vehicle crash records