Council

Nillumbik Road Harm Intelligence Report

Fatal and injury crash patterns, vulnerable road-user harm, heavy-vehicle involvement, SCATS exposure matching and TIRTL freight-conflict matching.

29 fatalities 651 serious injuries 573 VRU crash records 43 heavy-vehicle crash records
1,835
Crash records
29
Fatalities
651
Serious injuries
1,610
Other injuries
11,020
Weighted harm score
50.8
Priority score
Method caveat: This is a public-interest analytical report. It is not an engineering safety audit. Locations should be treated as candidates for further review.

Highest-priority dangerous signalised intersections

This council-level panel ranks signalised intersections using the SCATS exposure-adjusted road-harm screening layer.

Headline signal: Yan Yean Road / River Avenue is the strongest Nillumbik signal-site priority in the SCATS exposure-adjusted screening layer. It ranks #1 locally and #1,039 statewide.
25
SCATS-matched sites
410
Matched crashes
93
Fatal/serious injuries
1,421
Weighted harm score

Top 5 local signal-site priorities

Local rankState rankSCATS siteHarmFSICrashesHarm/m movementsVRUHV
11039Yan Yean Road / River Avenue
SCATS 2114
1657102.610
21088DIAMOND CREEK RD / GREENSBOROUGH Highway / CIVIC
SCATS 2816
26518920.5211
31108KangarooGroundWarrandyteRd / ResearchWarra
SCATS 1457
877161.844
41987Yan Yean Road / Kurrak Road
SCATS 2495
715211.031
52032HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE near THE PARKWAY
SCATS 3356
565100.8100

Caveat: SCATS movements are an exposure proxy. Crash-to-SCATS matching is proximity-based. This is a public-interest prioritisation tool and not an engineering safety audit.

Safety diagnosis

This section diagnoses the type of road-harm problem in Nillumbik by crash mechanism, road environment, vulnerable-road-user involvement and heavy-vehicle involvement.

11,020
Weighted harm score
680
Fatal + serious injuries
10.8%
VRU share of harm
4.0%
Heavy-vehicle share of harm
34.5%
High-speed road harm share
26.0%
Intersection harm share
Plain-English diagnosis: Nillumbik recorded 1,835 injury crash records, 29 fatalities and 651 serious injuries in the analysis period. The leading harm mechanism family is Turning / crossing conflict. High-speed roads account for 34.5% of weighted harm. Dark, dawn or dusk conditions account for 29.6% of weighted harm.

Top harm mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Turning / crossing conflict5471842,95526.8%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict2131352,45722.3%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control2981382,11719.2%
Other / mixed mechanism234691,0829.8%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict134751,0199.2%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict352579518.6%
Pedestrian conflict48204123.7%
Object / roadside impact92270.2%

Top fatal/serious mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Turning / crossing conflict1711842,49626.1%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict1031352,30524.1%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control1291381,93720.3%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict67759429.9%
Other / mixed mechanism62698829.2%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict56575826.1%
Pedestrian conflict20203824.0%
Object / roadside impact22200.2%

Vulnerable road-user mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Pedestrian conflict472041134.4%
Turning / crossing conflict541822118.5%
Other / mixed mechanism531418415.4%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control231213311.1%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict22101149.5%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict97736.1%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict135594.9%

Heavy-vehicle mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict121129867.7%
Other / mixed mechanism1456113.9%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict744410.0%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict31122.7%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control31122.7%
Pedestrian conflict11102.3%
Turning / crossing conflict3030.7%

Speed-zone harm profile

Speed categoryCrashesFSIHarmShare
Urban arterial roads (60–70 km/h)8783375,40449.0%
High-speed roads (80+ km/h)5342173,80734.5%
Local streets (50 km/h)241901,27811.6%
Unknown speed zone134263803.4%
Low-speed streets (≤40 km/h)48101511.4%

Road-geometry harm profile

Road geometryCrashesFSIHarmShare
Midblock / not at intersection1,2154988,15474.0%
Intersection6171822,86226.0%
Unknown geometry2030.0%
Other geometry1010.0%

Lighting harm profile

LightingCrashesFSIHarmShare
Daylight1,2844637,66369.5%
Dark / street lights3531632,45222.3%
Dawn / dusk157488067.3%
Other lighting416990.9%

Top detailed crash descriptions

Detailed crash descriptionCrashesFSIHarmShare
HEAD ON (NOT OVERTAKING)1721181,98218.0%
LEFT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE142771,40712.8%
OFF RIGHT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE143581,0449.5%
REAR END(VEHICLES IN SAME LANE)351579508.6%
OFF LEFT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE111669128.3%
RIGHT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE68335545.0%
RIGHT THROUGH91224133.7%
OUT OF CONTROL ON CARRIAGEWAY (ON STRAIGHT)58283132.8%

Caveat: This is a public-interest diagnostic layer. It identifies patterns for review and does not assign legal fault, engineering causation or treatment responsibility.

Emerging hotspots and worsening trends

This section compares recent road harm against the long-run baseline to identify patterns that may be getting worse.

Plain-English signal: Nillumbik has localised worsening signals even if the whole-council signal is below the statewide top threshold.

Top local worsening locations

LocationClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yrRecent FSI
ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-ST ANDREWS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.153.353.12
KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / YEOMANS ROADStrong worsening7.440.733.46
ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / SKYLINE ROADEmerging from low baseline0.028.728.72
KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / MARBERT COURTEmerging from low baseline1.526.424.91
KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROADStrong worsening10.331.621.33
KURRAK ROAD / ARMSTRONG ROADEmerging from low baseline1.316.415.26
DOCTORS GULLY ROAD / BROCKS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.113.813.75
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / CHURCH ROADEmerging from low baseline0.08.48.43

Worsening mechanism families

MechanismClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yr
Lane-change / sideswipe conflictMajor worsening154.6216.762.1

Comparison period

Baseline: 2012-2019
Recent: 2022-2025

Metrics are annualised. This is a statistical screening layer, not an engineering safety audit.

Vulnerable Road User Atlas

This section focuses on pedestrian, bicyclist, motorcyclist, school-age pedestrian/cyclist and older-pedestrian harm patterns where fields are available.

Plain-English VRU signature: Nillumbik recorded 221 vulnerable-road-user crash records, 2 fatalities and 84 serious injuries. VRU crashes account for 12.0% of all recorded injury crashes and 10.8% of weighted harm. The largest VRU count group is bicyclists. School-age pedestrian/cyclist flags appear in 34 records. Older-pedestrian flags appear in 12 records.

VRU type breakdown

VRU typeHarmFSICrashes
Bicyclist69258157
Pedestrian5032864
Older pedestrian156612
School-age pedestrian/cyclist92634
Motorcyclist000

VRU mechanism families

MechanismHarmFSICrashes
Other / mixed mechanism4642372
Turning / crossing conflict3392879
Run-off-road / loss-of-control1331223
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict1141022
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict86812
Rear-end / same-lane conflict59513

Top local VRU locations

LocationHarmFSICrashesPedBikeMoto
MAIN ROAD / ANTOINETTE BOULEVARD
Open map
10011100
SILVER STREET / VINE STREET
Open map
10011100
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / NINKS ROAD
Open map
3437070
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / OLD KINGLAKE ROAD
Open map
3235050
MAIN ROAD / FALKINER STREET
Open map
3133030
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / ARTHURS CREEK ROAD
Open map
3033210
ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD
Open map
2224040
MAIN ROAD / PARK WEST ROAD
Open map
2223120

Freight Conflict Index

This section focuses on heavy-vehicle crash harm, vulnerable-road-user overlap and TIRTL freight exposure where available.

Plain-English freight signature: Nillumbik recorded 43 heavy-vehicle-involved crash records, 2 fatalities and 21 serious injuries. Heavy-vehicle crashes account for 4.0% of total weighted harm. There are 6 heavy-vehicle crashes overlapping with pedestrians, bicyclists or motorcyclists. No TIRTL-matched freight-corridor harm was available for this council in the current matching layer.

TIRTL freight-conflict sites

No records available for this table.

HV mechanism families

MechanismHarmFSIHV crashesHV+VRU
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict29811122
Other / mixed mechanism716151
Rear-end / same-lane conflict44471
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict12131
Run-off-road / loss-of-control12131
Turning / crossing conflict3030

Top heavy-vehicle crash locations

LocationHarmFSIHV crashesHV+VRU
ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-ST ANDREWS ROAD
Open map
100111
YAN YEAN ROAD / JORGENSEN AVENUE
Open map
100110
KURRAK ROAD / ARMSTRONG ROAD
Open map
30310
RESEARCH-WARRANDYTE ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD
Open map
24241
DIAMOND CREEK ROAD / STONE STREET
Open map
20210
WATTLETREE ROAD / THE PARADE
Open map
20210

Freight / vulnerable-road-user overlap locations

LocationHarmFSIHV crashesPedBikeMoto
ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-ST ANDREWS ROAD
Open map
10011001
RESEARCH-WARRANDYTE ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD
Open map
2424100
METROPOLITAN RING ROAD / PLENTY-METROPOLITAN RING OUT ON RAMP
Open map
1212001
ARTHURS CREEK ROAD / GRAYSHARPS ROAD
Open map
1011010
MAIN STREET / COLLINS STREET
Open map
1011100

SCATS exposure-adjusted intersection league table

This section ranks signalised intersections by total road harm and by harm adjusted for observed SCATS movements.

Plain-English SCATS signal: Nillumbik has 25 SCATS sites with matched crash records, 410 matched crash records and 93 fatal/serious injuries. The highest-priority local SCATS site is Yan Yean Road / River Avenue, with a priority score of 67.9.

Top local SCATS sites by combined priority

SCATS sitePriorityHarmFSIHarm / m movementsConfidence
Yan Yean Road / River Avenue
SCATS 2114
Open map
67.9165.072.6High
DIAMOND CREEK RD / GREENSBOROUGH Highway / CIVIC
SCATS 2816
Open map
67.0265.0180.5High
KangarooGroundWarrandyteRd / ResearchWarra
SCATS 1457
Open map
66.687.071.8Medium
Yan Yean Road / Kurrak Road
SCATS 2495
Open map
49.571.051.0High
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE near THE PARKWAY
SCATS 3356
Open map
48.556.050.8High
Yan Yean Road / Browns Lane / Faneco Road
SCATS 1870
Open map
45.061.051.0High
Main / Collins / Hyde
SCATS 4164
Open map
41.172.050.6High
WATTLETREE near ELTHAM NTH PS
SCATS 4185
Open map
40.448.040.8High

Top eligible local SCATS sites by harm rate

SCATS siteHarm / m movementsHarmFSICrashesMovements
Yan Yean Road / River Avenue
SCATS 2114
Open map
2.6165.071064,198,400
KangarooGroundWarrandyteRd / ResearchWarra
SCATS 1457
Open map
1.887.071648,084,239
Yan Yean Road / Kurrak Road
SCATS 2495
Open map
1.071.052172,624,588
Yan Yean Road / Browns Lane / Faneco Road
SCATS 1870
Open map
1.061.051563,119,627
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE near THE PARKWAY
SCATS 3356
Open map
0.856.051066,411,752
WATTLETREE near ELTHAM NTH PS
SCATS 4185
Open map
0.848.041058,845,944
CHUTE near INGLES
SCATS 3348
Open map
0.737.031052,088,015
Yan Yean Road / Old Yan Yean Road
SCATS 2113
Open map
0.643.031267,377,874

Nillumbik crash map

Interactive self-contained Google Map showing crash records, fatal crashes, serious-injury crashes, vulnerable road-user crashes and heavy-vehicle crashes for this council area.

Map caveat: this is public-interest road-harm intelligence, not an engineering safety audit.

Open Nillumbik crash map in a full page

Nillumbik road-harm graphs

Large-format colour-coded graph pack showing this council's severity trend, harm composition, road-user involvement, top locations and exposure layers.

Annual severity trend

Crash records by year, stacked by fatal, serious injury and other injury severity.

Open full-size graph
Annual severity trend

Harm composition

Fatalities, serious injuries and other injuries in the official crash data.

Open full-size graph
Harm composition

Road-user involvement

Pedestrian, bicycle, motorcycle and heavy-vehicle crash involvement.

Open full-size graph
Road-user involvement

Statewide priority comparison

Combined priority score and statewide rank compared with other councils.

Open full-size graph
Statewide priority comparison

SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Top SCATS-matched sites by weighted harm where signal-site exposure data is available.

Open full-size graph
SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Graph caveat: these are public-interest road-harm intelligence charts, not an engineering safety audit.

Nillumbik Street View quick links

Click a link to inspect the road environment in a new browser tab.

Top crash locations — Street View

LocationSummaryStreet ViewGoogle Maps
KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / YEOMANS ROAD27 crashes; 2 fatal; 12 serious; harm 340Street ViewGoogle Maps
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / OLD KINGLAKE ROAD41 crashes; 1 fatal; 19 serious; harm 315Street ViewGoogle Maps
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / NINKS ROAD40 crashes; 1 fatal; 15 serious; harm 275Street ViewGoogle Maps
METROPOLITAN RING ROAD / GREENSBOROUGH BYPASS10 crashes; 2 fatal; 2 serious; harm 237Street ViewGoogle Maps
KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD12 crashes; 1 fatal; 11 serious; harm 214Street ViewGoogle Maps
IRONBARK ROAD / PIONEER ROAD6 crashes; 2 fatal; 1 serious; harm 213Street ViewGoogle Maps
ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-ST ANDREWS ROAD6 crashes; 2 fatal; 0 serious; harm 206Street ViewGoogle Maps
YAN YEAN ROAD / RIVER AVENUE10 crashes; 1 fatal; 6 serious; harm 165Street ViewGoogle Maps
KANGAROO GROUND-WATTLE GLEN ROAD / HILLVIEW COURT6 crashes; 1 fatal; 5 serious; harm 154Street ViewGoogle Maps
ARTHURS CREEK ROAD / RUNNING CREEK ROAD4 crashes; 1 fatal; 4 serious; harm 141Street ViewGoogle Maps
DIAMOND CREEK ROAD / OLD DIAMOND CREEK ROAD4 crashes; 1 fatal; 3 serious; harm 133Street ViewGoogle Maps
METROPOLITAN RING ROAD / PLENTY-METROPOLITAN RING OUT ON RAMP31 crashes; 0 fatal; 10 serious; harm 131Street ViewGoogle Maps

SCATS signal-site exposure layer — Street View

SCATS siteSummaryStreet ViewGoogle Maps
DIAMOND CREEK RD / GREENSBOROUGH Highway / CIVICSite 2816; 92 matched crashes; harm 265Street ViewGoogle Maps
Yan Yean Road / River AvenueSite 2114; 10 matched crashes; harm 165Street ViewGoogle Maps
KangarooGroundWarrandyteRd / ResearchWarraSite 1457; 16 matched crashes; harm 87Street ViewGoogle Maps
Main / Collins / HydeSite 4164; 17 matched crashes; harm 72Street ViewGoogle Maps
Yan Yean Road / Kurrak RoadSite 2495; 21 matched crashes; harm 71Street ViewGoogle Maps
MAIN near PRYORSite 717; 15 matched crashes; harm 69Street ViewGoogle Maps
Diamond Creek / Plenty RiverSite 3339; 17 matched crashes; harm 64Street ViewGoogle Maps
Yan Yean Road / Browns Lane / Faneco RoadSite 1870; 15 matched crashes; harm 61Street ViewGoogle Maps
HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE near THE PARKWAYSite 3356; 10 matched crashes; harm 56Street ViewGoogle Maps
Main / Wattletree / Park WestSite 711; 24 matched crashes; harm 55Street ViewGoogle Maps
Hurstbridge-Main / Shopping Centre AccessSite 4189; 21 matched crashes; harm 51Street ViewGoogle Maps
WATTLETREE near ELTHAM NTH PSSite 4185; 10 matched crashes; harm 48Street ViewGoogle Maps

Top crash locations

Ranked by weighted harm score. Weighting: fatality ×100, serious injury ×10, other injury ×1.

RankLocationCrashesFatalitiesSerious injuriesOther injuriesHarm scoreHV crashesPedBikeMoto
1KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / YEOMANS ROAD27212203401003
2HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / OLD KINGLAKE ROAD411192531500524
3HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / NINKS ROAD401152527500725
4METROPOLITAN RING ROAD / GREENSBOROUGH BYPASS1022172370000
5KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD1211142140011
6IRONBARK ROAD / PIONEER ROAD62132130002
7ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / KANGAROO GROUND-ST ANDREWS ROAD62062061003
8YAN YEAN ROAD / RIVER AVENUE101651650001
9KANGAROO GROUND-WATTLE GLEN ROAD / HILLVIEW COURT61541540002
10ARTHURS CREEK ROAD / RUNNING CREEK ROAD41411410000
11DIAMOND CREEK ROAD / OLD DIAMOND CREEK ROAD41331330001
12METROPOLITAN RING ROAD / PLENTY-METROPOLITAN RING OUT ON RAMP31010311312002
13BROAD GULLY ROAD / WILSON ROAD41211210011
14BROAD GULLY ROAD / HICKORY DOWNS PLACE51131130002
15KANGAROO GROUND-WARRANDYTE ROAD / MARBERT COURT41131130002
16AQUEDUCT ROAD / DAVID HOCKNEY DRIVE31131130000
17MAIN ROAD / ANTOINETTE BOULEVARD31121120100
18ELTHAM-YARRA GLEN ROAD / SKYLINE ROAD21101100011
19HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / PULLEN DRIVE21101100002
20WATTLETREE ROAD / BOYDS ROAD11101100000
21HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / MULLERS ROAD19091510500312
22KURRAK ROAD / ARMSTRONG ROAD901041041012
23BANNONS LANE / BOYDS ROAD41041040001
24PLENTY ROAD / PLENTY-METROPOLITAN RING OUT ON RAMP2308221022011
25HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE ROAD / MT JERUSALEM ROAD31021020000

SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Crash records matched to nearby SCATS sites using the selected proximity radius. This is a signal/intersection-adjacent view, not full road-network attribution.

RankSCATSSiteCrashesFatalitiesSerious injuriesHarm scoreMovementsHarm / millionHVPedBikeMoto
12816DIAMOND CREEK RD / GREENSBOROUGH Highway / CIVIC92018265491,145,0420.5410219
22114Yan Yean Road / River Avenue101616564,198,4002.570001
31457KangarooGroundWarrandyteRd / ResearchWarra16078748,084,2391.814301
44164Main / Collins / Hyde170572124,065,7830.581202
52495Yan Yean Road / Kurrak Road21057172,624,5880.981003
6717MAIN near PRYOR150669188,059,7330.370533
73339Diamond Creek / Plenty River170564291,524,6880.220204
81870Yan Yean Road / Browns Lane / Faneco Road15056163,119,6270.970001
93356HEIDELBERG-KINGLAKE near THE PARKWAY10055666,411,7520.840136
10711Main / Wattletree / Park West240355137,903,2580.401232
114189Hurstbridge-Main / Shopping Centre Access21035190,625,4430.561541
124185WATTLETREE near ELTHAM NTH PS10044858,845,9440.821001
132113Yan Yean Road / Old Yan Yean Road12034367,377,8740.640001
14715Main / Bridge - Eltham110342113,586,0030.370320
153352Main Hurstbridge / Elizabeth100338192,621,0870.202320
163348CHUTE near INGLES10033752,088,0150.710111
17990Bridge / Silver20013394,741,0610.350162
184107Yan Yean / Ironbark16012771,882,0590.380010
192112MAIN near BAYFIELD7022674,516,0790.350112
20714Main / Dudley70226123,418,5070.210020
214176Diamond Creek / Yan Yean / Aqueduct190026226,143,2870.110002
22713Main / Diamond / Cecil130123126,679,3230.180441
231024Main / Leane10001732,434,7270.520022
242115Yan Yean Road / Nillumbik Council Depot2011261,368,3920.200000
252111MAIN near DALTON500787,323,1990.080011

TIRTL freight-conflict layer

Heavy-vehicle crash records matched to nearby TIRTL freight monitoring sites. This is a freight-corridor candidate layer.

No rows available.

Road-user summaries

64
Pedestrian crash records
157
Bicycle crash records
352
Motorcycle crash records
43
Heavy-vehicle crash records