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Mornington Peninsula Road Harm Intelligence Report

Fatal and injury crash patterns, vulnerable road-user harm, heavy-vehicle involvement, SCATS exposure matching and TIRTL freight-conflict matching.

89 fatalities 2,106 serious injuries 1,238 VRU crash records 113 heavy-vehicle crash records
4,096
Crash records
89
Fatalities
2,106
Serious injuries
3,286
Other injuries
33,246
Weighted harm score
78.5
Priority score
Method caveat: This is a public-interest analytical report. It is not an engineering safety audit. Locations should be treated as candidates for further review.

Highest-priority dangerous signalised intersections

This council-level panel ranks signalised intersections using the SCATS exposure-adjusted road-harm screening layer.

Headline signal: Nepean / Bungower is the strongest Mornington Peninsula signal-site priority in the SCATS exposure-adjusted screening layer. It ranks #1 locally and #399 statewide.
56
SCATS-matched sites
787
Matched crashes
318
Fatal/serious injuries
4,425
Weighted harm score
Open full Mornington Peninsula dangerous-intersections briefing Statewide dangerous-intersections index

Top 5 local signal-site priorities

Local rankState rankSCATS siteHarmFSICrashesHarm/m movementsVRUHV
1399Nepean / Bungower
SCATS 237		25221421.371
2406Nepean Highway / Forrest Drive
SCATS 32027		227121933.201
3415Nepean / Lonsdale
SCATS 555		16715212.380
4492Frankston-Flinders / Penlink
SCATS 1305		23813251.941
5494Nepean / Wooralla / Mt Eliza Way
SCATS 236		19617311.452

Caveat: SCATS movements are an exposure proxy. Crash-to-SCATS matching is proximity-based. This is a public-interest prioritisation tool and not an engineering safety audit.

Safety diagnosis

This section diagnoses the type of road-harm problem in Mornington Peninsula by crash mechanism, road environment, vulnerable-road-user involvement and heavy-vehicle involvement.

33,246
Weighted harm score
2,195
Fatal + serious injuries
17.5%
VRU share of harm
4.3%
Heavy-vehicle share of harm
51.7%
High-speed road harm share
44.3%
Intersection harm share
Plain-English diagnosis: Mornington Peninsula recorded 4,096 injury crash records, 89 fatalities and 2,106 serious injuries in the analysis period. The leading harm mechanism family is Turning / crossing conflict. High-speed roads account for 51.7% of weighted harm. Dark, dawn or dusk conditions account for 28.3% of weighted harm.

Top harm mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Turning / crossing conflict1,64193713,99142.1%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict2962715,29515.9%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control5242903,74111.3%
Other / mixed mechanism5642373,54410.7%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict6092273,33010.0%
Pedestrian conflict2101111,8625.6%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict2131121,3524.1%
Object / roadside impact39101310.4%

Top fatal/serious mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Turning / crossing conflict77793712,86842.2%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict1792715,13016.8%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control2662903,45911.3%
Other / mixed mechanism2202373,13010.3%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict1912272,8159.2%
Pedestrian conflict1051111,7495.7%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict1051121,2314.0%
Object / roadside impact10101000.3%

Vulnerable road-user mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Pedestrian conflict2101111,86231.9%
Other / mixed mechanism219951,64128.1%
Turning / crossing conflict203981,27821.9%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict37194888.4%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control37152644.5%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict34131552.7%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict23121322.3%
Object / roadside impact41140.2%

Heavy-vehicle mechanism families

Mechanism familyCrashesFSIHarmShare
Turning / crossing conflict433161642.6%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict161635124.3%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict251425017.3%
Other / mixed mechanism15101077.4%
Pedestrian conflict111006.9%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control101191.3%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict2020.1%
Object / roadside impact1010.1%

Speed-zone harm profile

Speed categoryCrashesFSIHarmShare
High-speed roads (80+ km/h)1,6801,11817,17351.7%
Urban arterial roads (60–70 km/h)1,4006519,94929.9%
Local streets (50 km/h)7193394,82614.5%
Low-speed streets (≤40 km/h)116396682.0%
Unknown speed zone178476181.9%
75 km/h roads31120.0%

Road-geometry harm profile

Road geometryCrashesFSIHarmShare
Midblock / not at intersection2,0801,16518,42455.4%
Intersection2,0071,02214,73444.3%
Other geometry47730.2%
Unknown geometry51150.0%

Lighting harm profile

LightingCrashesFSIHarmShare
Daylight2,9911,58123,40470.4%
Dark / street lights7484437,40422.3%
Dawn / dusk2831522,0056.0%
Other lighting74194331.3%

Top detailed crash descriptions

Detailed crash descriptionCrashesFSIHarmShare
HEAD ON (NOT OVERTAKING)1991993,69811.1%
REAR END(VEHICLES IN SAME LANE)6042263,31410.0%
CROSS TRAFFIC(INTERSECTIONS ONLY)3592143,1859.6%
RIGHT NEAR (INTERSECTIONS ONLY)2751692,4817.5%
LEFT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE3041762,3987.2%
RIGHT THROUGH2891652,2716.8%
RIGHT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE2071412,2436.7%
OFF RIGHT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE117801,5804.8%

Caveat: This is a public-interest diagnostic layer. It identifies patterns for review and does not assign legal fault, engineering causation or treatment responsibility.

Emerging hotspots and worsening trends

This section compares recent road harm against the long-run baseline to identify patterns that may be getting worse.

Plain-English signal: Mornington Peninsula has localised worsening signals even if the whole-council signal is below the statewide top threshold.
Open full Mornington Peninsula emerging-hotspots page Statewide emerging-hotspots index

Top local worsening locations

LocationClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yrRecent FSI
LONSDALE STREET / SOUTH ROADEmerging from low baseline0.934.233.34
POINT NEPEAN ROAD / POINT NEPEAN ROADStrong worsening4.834.229.44
GRAYDENS ROAD / FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.029.029.02
NEPEAN HIGHWAY / NEPEAN HIGHWAYStrong worsening7.129.522.410
FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD / FRANKSTON-FLINDERS FWD ROAD SERVICE ROADEmerging from low baseline1.429.027.62
DANDENONG-HASTINGS ROAD / ERAMOSA E ROADStrong worsening5.029.224.22
FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD / GRAYDENS ROADStrong worsening4.920.916.08
PENINSULA LINK OUT-FRANKSTON-FLINDERS RAMP / FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROADStrong worsening6.629.022.42

Worsening mechanism families

MechanismClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yr
Other / mixed mechanismStrong worsening291.5326.635.1
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflictModerate worsening99.0109.110.1
Object / roadside impactWatch9.59.4-0.1

Comparison period

Baseline: 2012-2019
Recent: 2022-2025

Metrics are annualised. This is a statistical screening layer, not an engineering safety audit.

Vulnerable Road User Atlas

This section focuses on pedestrian, bicyclist, motorcyclist, school-age pedestrian/cyclist and older-pedestrian harm patterns where fields are available.

Plain-English VRU signature: Mornington Peninsula recorded 767 vulnerable-road-user crash records, 19 fatalities and 345 serious injuries. VRU crashes account for 18.7% of all recorded injury crashes and 17.5% of weighted harm. The largest VRU count group is bicyclists. School-age pedestrian/cyclist flags appear in 121 records. Older-pedestrian flags appear in 80 records.
Open full Mornington Peninsula VRU atlas page Statewide VRU atlas

VRU type breakdown

VRU typeHarmFSICrashes
Pedestrian2,986161314
Bicyclist2,872205457
Older pedestrian1,1895180
School-age pedestrian/cyclist69743121
Motorcyclist000

VRU mechanism families

MechanismHarmFSICrashes
Turning / crossing conflict2,412153289
Other / mixed mechanism2,288144325
Rear-end / same-lane conflict4881937
Run-off-road / loss-of-control2641537
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict2362052
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict1321223

Top local VRU locations

LocationHarmFSICrashesPedBikeMoto
POINT NEPEAN ROAD / POINT NEPEAN ROAD
Open map		137411290
NEPEAN HIGHWAY / COUNTRY CLUB DRIVE
Open map		12134040
PENINSULA LINK FREEWAY / DERRIL ROAD
Open map		11321100
MARINE PARADE / HIGH STREET
Open map		11022200
FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD / FRANKSTON-FLINDERS FWD ROAD SERVICE ROAD
Open map		11021100
FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD / LADY NELSON PARKWAY
Open map		11021100
EASTBOURNE ROAD / NINTH S AVENUE
Open map		10112110
FULTONS ROAD / BAXTER-TOORADIN ROAD
Open map		10111100

Freight Conflict Index

This section focuses on heavy-vehicle crash harm, vulnerable-road-user overlap and TIRTL freight exposure where available.

Plain-English freight signature: Mornington Peninsula recorded 113 heavy-vehicle-involved crash records, 7 fatalities and 66 serious injuries. Heavy-vehicle crashes account for 4.3% of total weighted harm. There are 15 heavy-vehicle crashes overlapping with pedestrians, bicyclists or motorcyclists. No TIRTL-matched freight-corridor harm was available for this council in the current matching layer.
Open full Mornington Peninsula freight-conflict page Statewide Freight Conflict Index

TIRTL freight-conflict sites

No records available for this table.

HV mechanism families

MechanismHarmFSIHV crashesHV+VRU
Turning / crossing conflict71632447
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict35116161
Rear-end / same-lane conflict25014251
Other / mixed mechanism10710154
Run-off-road / loss-of-control191101
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict2020

Top heavy-vehicle crash locations

LocationHarmFSIHV crashesHV+VRU
COOLART ROAD / MYERS ROAD
Open map		202210
BALNARRING ROAD / GILLETT ROAD
Open map		120310
FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD / WESTMINSTER COURT
Open map		101110
BOUNDARY ROAD / HILLVIEW QUARRY DRIVE
Open map		100111
MOOROODUC HIGHWAY / MOOROODUC REV HIGHWAY SERVICE ROAD
Open map		100111
NEPEAN HIGHWAY / TOWER ROAD
Open map		100110

Freight / vulnerable-road-user overlap locations

LocationHarmFSIHV crashesPedBikeMoto
BOUNDARY ROAD / HILLVIEW QUARRY DRIVE
Open map		10011100
MOOROODUC HIGHWAY / MOOROODUC REV HIGHWAY SERVICE ROAD
Open map		10011010
NEPEAN HIGHWAY / BUNGOWER ROAD
Open map		2021010

SCATS exposure-adjusted intersection league table

This section ranks signalised intersections by total road harm and by harm adjusted for observed SCATS movements.

Plain-English SCATS signal: Mornington Peninsula has 56 SCATS sites with matched crash records, 787 matched crash records and 318 fatal/serious injuries. The highest-priority local SCATS site is Nepean / Bungower, with a priority score of 81.6.
Open full Mornington Peninsula SCATS league table Statewide SCATS intersection league table

Top local SCATS sites by combined priority

SCATS sitePriorityHarmFSIHarm / m movementsConfidence
Nepean / Bungower
SCATS 237
Open map		81.6252.0211.3High
Nepean Highway / Forrest Drive
SCATS 32027
Open map		81.4227.01233.2Watch
Nepean / Lonsdale
SCATS 555
Open map		81.3167.0152.3High
Frankston-Flinders / Penlink
SCATS 1305
Open map		79.1238.0131.9High
Nepean / Wooralla / Mt Eliza Way
SCATS 236
Open map		79.1196.0171.4High
Mornington Peninsula Freeway / Jetty Road
SCATS 32038
Open map		78.4163.0121.7High
NEPEAN near MOOMBA
SCATS 238
Open map		74.6163.0141.3High
Nepean / Humphries
SCATS 278
Open map		74.4149.0141.3High

Top eligible local SCATS sites by harm rate

SCATS siteHarm / m movementsHarmFSICrashesMovements
Nepean Highway / Forrest Drive
SCATS 32027
Open map		33.2227.012196,830,249
Boneo / Mccombe
SCATS 554
Open map		2.4163.061667,105,450
Nepean / Lonsdale
SCATS 555
Open map		2.3167.0152171,757,366
Frankston-Flinders / Penlink
SCATS 1305
Open map		1.9238.01325124,327,897
Mornington Peninsula Freeway / Jetty Road
SCATS 32038
Open map		1.7163.0124894,562,435
NEPEAN near CARMICHAEL
SCATS 249
Open map		1.7148.041787,868,091
Point Nepean / Ninth
SCATS 299
Open map		1.5121.0102378,836,346
Nepean Highway near Tower Road
SCATS 1717
Open map		1.4166.0713117,326,447

Mornington Peninsula crash map

Interactive self-contained Google Map showing crash records, fatal crashes, serious-injury crashes, vulnerable road-user crashes and heavy-vehicle crashes for this council area.

Map caveat: this is public-interest road-harm intelligence, not an engineering safety audit.

Open Mornington Peninsula crash map in a full page

Mornington Peninsula road-harm graphs

Large-format colour-coded graph pack showing this council's severity trend, harm composition, road-user involvement, top locations and exposure layers.

Annual severity trend

Crash records by year, stacked by fatal, serious injury and other injury severity.

Open full-size graph
Annual severity trend

Harm composition

Fatalities, serious injuries and other injuries in the official crash data.

Open full-size graph
Harm composition

Road-user involvement

Pedestrian, bicycle, motorcycle and heavy-vehicle crash involvement.

Open full-size graph
Road-user involvement

Statewide priority comparison

Combined priority score and statewide rank compared with other councils.

Open full-size graph
Statewide priority comparison

SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Top SCATS-matched sites by weighted harm where signal-site exposure data is available.

Open full-size graph
SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Graph caveat: these are public-interest road-harm intelligence charts, not an engineering safety audit.

Mornington Peninsula Street View quick links

Click a link to inspect the road environment in a new browser tab.

Top crash locations — Street View

LocationSummaryStreet ViewGoogle Maps
DANDENONG-HASTINGS ROAD / BUNGOWER ROAD18 crashes; 2 fatal; 13 serious; harm 339Street ViewGoogle Maps
COOLART ROAD / MYERS ROAD10 crashes; 2 fatal; 11 serious; harm 318Street ViewGoogle Maps
NEPEAN HIGHWAY / URALLA ROAD28 crashes; 1 fatal; 17 serious; harm 297Street ViewGoogle Maps
EASTBOURNE ROAD / DEIGHTON DRIVE1 crashes; 2 fatal; 7 serious; harm 271Street ViewGoogle Maps
DANDENONG-HASTINGS ROAD / TYABB-TOORADIN ROAD15 crashes; 1 fatal; 13 serious; harm 247Street ViewGoogle Maps
MOOROODUC HIGHWAY / MORNINGTON-TYABB ROAD6 crashes; 2 fatal; 4 serious; harm 243Street ViewGoogle Maps
BIMBLE STREET / HYGEIA STREET3 crashes; 2 fatal; 3 serious; harm 234Street ViewGoogle Maps
MOUNT ELIZA WAY / MOUNT ELIZA WAY3 crashes; 2 fatal; 3 serious; harm 232Street ViewGoogle Maps
POINT NEPEAN ROAD / HUGHES ROAD7 crashes; 2 fatal; 2 serious; harm 225Street ViewGoogle Maps
NEPEAN HIGHWAY / FOREST DRIVE17 crashes; 1 fatal; 11 serious; harm 225Street ViewGoogle Maps
FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD / POINT LEO ROAD13 crashes; 1 fatal; 11 serious; harm 219Street ViewGoogle Maps
PENINSULA LINK FREEWAY / ARTHURS SEAT-MORNINGTON PENINSULA OUT ON RAMP2 crashes; 2 fatal; 1 serious; harm 211Street ViewGoogle Maps

SCATS signal-site exposure layer — Street View

SCATS siteSummaryStreet ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean / BungowerSite 237; 42 matched crashes; harm 252Street ViewGoogle Maps
Frankston-Flinders / PenlinkSite 1305; 25 matched crashes; harm 238Street ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean Highway / Forrest DriveSite 32027; 19 matched crashes; harm 227Street ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean / Main / Mornington-TyabbSite 239; 49 matched crashes; harm 196Street ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean / Wooralla / Mt Eliza WaySite 236; 31 matched crashes; harm 196Street ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean / LonsdaleSite 555; 21 matched crashes; harm 167Street ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean Highway near Tower RoadSite 1717; 13 matched crashes; harm 166Street ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean / Oakbank / EagleSite 1165; 9 matched crashes; harm 165Street ViewGoogle Maps
Mornington Peninsula Freeway / Jetty RoadSite 32038; 48 matched crashes; harm 163Street ViewGoogle Maps
NEPEAN near MOOMBASite 238; 28 matched crashes; harm 163Street ViewGoogle Maps
Boneo / MccombeSite 554; 16 matched crashes; harm 163Street ViewGoogle Maps
Nepean / HumphriesSite 278; 17 matched crashes; harm 149Street ViewGoogle Maps

Top crash locations

Ranked by weighted harm score. Weighting: fatality ×100, serious injury ×10, other injury ×1.

RankLocationCrashesFatalitiesSerious injuriesOther injuriesHarm scoreHV crashesPedBikeMoto
1DANDENONG-HASTINGS ROAD / BUNGOWER ROAD1821393391002
2COOLART ROAD / MYERS ROAD1021183181001
3NEPEAN HIGHWAY / URALLA ROAD28117272971112
4EASTBOURNE ROAD / DEIGHTON DRIVE12712710000
5DANDENONG-HASTINGS ROAD / TYABB-TOORADIN ROAD15113172470000
6MOOROODUC HIGHWAY / MORNINGTON-TYABB ROAD62432430000
7BIMBLE STREET / HYGEIA STREET32342340000
8MOUNT ELIZA WAY / MOUNT ELIZA WAY32322320000
9NEPEAN HIGHWAY / FOREST DRIVE17111152251000
10POINT NEPEAN ROAD / HUGHES ROAD72252250030
11FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD / POINT LEO ROAD1311192190012
12PENINSULA LINK FREEWAY / ARTHURS SEAT-MORNINGTON PENINSULA OUT ON RAMP22112110000
13MCCULLOCH STREET / HODGKINSON STREET12102100000
14MORNINGTON-FLINDERS ROAD / BALDRYS ROAD22002000000
15PENINSULA LINK FREEWAY / MORNINGTON PENINSULA OUT-BAYVIEW OF RAMP22002000000
16NEPEAN HIGHWAY / COUNTRY CLUB DRIVE121981981041
17PENINSULA LINK OUT-FRANKSTON-FLINDERS RAMP / FRANKSTON-FLINDERS ROAD121951950101
18NEPEAN HIGHWAY / NEPEAN HIGHWAY27017231930140
19NEPEAN HIGHWAY / BUNGOWER ROAD32016321921041
20NEPEAN HIGHWAY / OAKBANK ROAD1217171870000
21NEPEAN HIGHWAY / WOORALLA DRIVE29016251852112
22MORNINGTON-FLINDERS ROAD / SHANDS ROAD1117121820011
23BONEO ROAD / MEAKINS ROAD1817111811019
24POINT NEPEAN ROAD / POINT NEPEAN ROAD1916141741293
25MOOROODUC HIGHWAY / CRAIGIE ROAD20015211710010

SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Crash records matched to nearby SCATS sites using the selected proximity radius. This is a signal/intersection-adjacent view, not full road-network attribution.

RankSCATSSiteCrashesFatalitiesSerious injuriesHarm scoreMovementsHarm / millionHVPedBikeMoto
1237Nepean / Bungower42021252190,178,7171.331142
21305Frankston-Flinders / Penlink25112238124,327,8971.911112
332027Nepean Highway / Forrest Drive191112276,830,24933.231000
4236Nepean / Wooralla / Mt Eliza Way31017196141,248,9401.392122
5239Nepean / Main / Mornington-Tyabb49015196206,775,7400.953324
6555Nepean / Lonsdale2101516771,757,3662.330350
71717Nepean Highway near Tower Road1316166117,326,4471.411040
81165Nepean / Oakbank / Eagle915165131,736,4671.250000
9238NEPEAN near MOOMBA28014163121,524,8691.340251
1032038Mornington Peninsula Freeway / Jetty Road4801216394,562,4351.721135
11554Boneo / Mccombe161516367,105,4502.430510
12278Nepean / Humphries17014149115,519,9661.291132
13249NEPEAN near CARMICHAEL171314887,868,0911.681220
14240Nepean / Craigie1801012288,798,2201.370020
15299Point Nepean / Ninth2301012178,836,3461.530372
16307NEPEAN Highway / BUNNINGS / MORNINGTON SC1909105133,371,2580.790130
17501Point Nepean / Truemans2408105108,387,3970.970331
18308Point Nepean / Hygeia16099996,239,2721.031431
191442POINT NEPEAN near FIRST AVE21089777,348,9111.250172
20235Nepean / Canadian Bay170894114,446,2270.820221
21833POINT NEPEAN near SIXTH18078384,227,2330.991190
222023NEPEAN Highway / BRUCE9078073,652,0431.090040
232019NEPEAN Highway / BENTONS140675120,919,9300.620200
24243Point Nepean / Pier18067464,494,9961.150662
25250NEPEAN near NAPIER (RYE)12066890,063,5360.760612

TIRTL freight-conflict layer

Heavy-vehicle crash records matched to nearby TIRTL freight monitoring sites. This is a freight-corridor candidate layer.

No rows available.

Road-user summaries

314
Pedestrian crash records
457
Bicycle crash records
467
Motorcycle crash records
113
Heavy-vehicle crash records

Generated by TrafficAnalytics Road Harm Intelligence v0.1.