BB Council

Baw Baw Road Harm Intelligence Report

Fatal and injury crash patterns, vulnerable road-user harm, heavy-vehicle involvement, SCATS exposure matching and TIRTL freight-conflict matching.

59 fatalities 894 serious injuries 902 VRU crash records 97 heavy-vehicle crash records

2,414

Crash records

Fatalities

894

Serious injuries

2,132

Other injuries

16,972

Weighted harm score

66.0

Priority score

Method caveat: This is a public-interest analytical report. It is not an engineering safety audit. Locations should be treated as candidates for further review.

Safety diagnosis

This section diagnoses the type of road-harm problem in Baw Baw by crash mechanism, road environment, vulnerable-road-user involvement and heavy-vehicle involvement.

16,972

Weighted harm score

953

Fatal + serious injuries

5.5%

VRU share of harm

6.5%

Heavy-vehicle share of harm

67.4%

High-speed road harm share

21.3%

Intersection harm share

Plain-English diagnosis: Baw Baw recorded 2,414 injury crash records, 59 fatalities and 894 serious injuries in the analysis period. The leading harm mechanism family is Turning / crossing conflict. High-speed roads account for 67.4% of weighted harm. Dark, dawn or dusk conditions account for 30.3% of weighted harm.

Top harm mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Turning / crossing conflict	803	314	6,092	35.9%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	655	253	3,896	23.0%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	172	105	2,047	12.1%
Other / mixed mechanism	284	101	1,623	9.6%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	207	84	1,450	8.5%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	157	52	1,054	6.2%
Object / roadside impact	83	25	492	2.9%
Pedestrian conflict	53	19	318	1.9%

Top fatal/serious mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Turning / crossing conflict	276	314	5,407	35.9%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	241	253	3,457	22.9%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	81	105	1,905	12.6%
Other / mixed mechanism	94	101	1,385	9.2%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	79	84	1,304	8.7%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	40	52	901	6.0%
Object / roadside impact	24	25	431	2.9%
Pedestrian conflict	19	19	283	1.9%

Vulnerable road-user mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Other / mixed mechanism	41	14	350	37.7%
Pedestrian conflict	52	18	308	33.2%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	4	2	113	12.2%
Turning / crossing conflict	20	6	74	8.0%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	11	4	47	5.1%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	3	2	21	2.3%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	6	1	15	1.6%
Object / roadside impact	1	0	1	0.1%

Heavy-vehicle mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Turning / crossing conflict	24	8	374	33.9%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	23	14	342	31.0%
Other / mixed mechanism	14	5	241	21.8%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	12	6	68	6.2%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	15	5	60	5.4%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	7	1	17	1.5%
Object / roadside impact	1	0	1	0.1%
Pedestrian conflict	1	0	1	0.1%

Speed-zone harm profile

Speed category	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
High-speed roads (80+ km/h)	1,329	654	11,445	67.4%
Urban arterial roads (60–70 km/h)	479	141	2,713	16.0%
Unknown speed zone	404	107	1,845	10.9%
Local streets (50 km/h)	162	37	612	3.6%
Low-speed streets (≤40 km/h)	40	14	357	2.1%

Road-geometry harm profile

Road geometry	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Midblock / not at intersection	1,778	758	13,342	78.6%
Intersection	626	195	3,620	21.3%
Unknown geometry	7	0	7	0.0%
Other geometry	3	0	3	0.0%

Lighting harm profile

Lighting	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Daylight	1,774	675	11,377	67.0%
Dark / street lights	417	205	3,575	21.1%
Dawn / dusk	171	59	1,564	9.2%
Other lighting	52	14	456	2.7%

Top detailed crash descriptions

Detailed crash description	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
OFF RIGHT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	220	95	1,842	10.9%
HEAD ON (NOT OVERTAKING)	135	88	1,661	9.8%
LEFT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	186	92	1,498	8.8%
OFF LEFT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	155	69	1,255	7.4%
REAR END(VEHICLES IN SAME LANE)	153	51	1,041	6.1%
RIGHT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	118	54	982	5.8%
OUT OF CONTROL ON CARRIAGEWAY (ON STRAIGHT)	182	55	868	5.1%
OUT OF CONTROL ON CARRIAGEWAY (ON BEND)	176	62	829	4.9%

Caveat: This is a public-interest diagnostic layer. It identifies patterns for review and does not assign legal fault, engineering causation or treatment responsibility.

Emerging hotspots and worsening trends

This section compares recent road harm against the long-run baseline to identify patterns that may be getting worse.

Plain-English signal: Baw Baw's recent annualised harm rate is 1384.5 versus a baseline annualised rate of 1158.3, a change of 226.2 harm-score points per year.

Open full Baw Baw emerging-hotspots page Statewide emerging-hotspots index

Top local worsening locations

Location	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr	Recent FSI
WALHALLA ROAD / HAPPY GO LUCKY ROAD	Strong worsening	2.6	42.0	39.4	7
DONNELLYS CREEK ROAD / TOOMBON TRACK	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	34.2	34.2	4
TYERS-WALHALLA ROAD / BLUFF ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	31.6	31.6	3
WESTERNPORT ROAD / TOLLEY ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	31.6	31.5	3
WATERLOO ROAD / WATERLOO ALT ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.3	31.6	31.3	3
PRINCES HIGHWAY / RANKINS ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.1	31.3	31.2	3
MIZPAH SETTLEMENT ROAD / TARA COURT	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	29.0	29.0	2
LONGWARRY ROAD / GARDNER AND HOLMAN ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	26.4	26.4	1

Worsening mechanism families

Mechanism	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr
Other / mixed mechanism	Major worsening	91.9	218.3	126.4
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	Major worsening	278.6	359.5	80.9
Object / roadside impact	Major worsening	18.0	76.0	58.0
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	Strong worsening	48.4	79.4	31.0
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	Moderate worsening	112.5	118.0	5.5
Turning / crossing conflict	Watch	446.3	400.2	-46.0

Comparison period

Baseline: 2012-2019
Recent: 2022-2025

Metrics are annualised. This is a statistical screening layer, not an engineering safety audit.

Vulnerable Road User Atlas

This section focuses on pedestrian, bicyclist, motorcyclist, school-age pedestrian/cyclist and older-pedestrian harm patterns where fields are available.

Plain-English VRU signature: Baw Baw recorded 138 vulnerable-road-user crash records, 4 fatalities and 43 serious injuries. VRU crashes account for 5.7% of all recorded injury crashes and 5.5% of weighted harm. The largest VRU count group is pedestrians. School-age pedestrian/cyclist flags appear in 21 records. Older-pedestrian flags appear in 21 records.

Open full Baw Baw VRU atlas page Statewide VRU atlas

VRU type breakdown

VRU type	Harm	FSI	Crashes
Pedestrian	634	30	86
Bicyclist	295	17	52
Older pedestrian	212	11	21
School-age pedestrian/cyclist	76	6	21
Motorcyclist	0	0	0

VRU mechanism families

Mechanism	Harm	FSI	Crashes
Other / mixed mechanism	575	26	66
Turning / crossing conflict	145	11	44
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	113	2	4
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	59	5	14
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	21	2	3
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	15	1	6

Top local VRU locations

Location	Harm	FSI	Crashes	Ped	Bike
WATERLOO ROAD / WATERLOO ALT ROAD Open map	112	2	3	2	1
ALBERT ROAD / ALBERT STREET Open map	100	1	1	1	0
CALWAY STREET / MEREDITH COURT Open map	100	1	1	1	0
OLD SALE ROAD / STOCK ROAD Open map	100	1	1	0	1
PRINCES HIGHWAY / ASHBY STREET Open map	21	2	3	3	0
ASHBY STREET / KITCHENER STREET Open map	20	2	2	1	1
SMITH STREET / QUEEN STREET Open map	20	2	2	1	1
ALBERT ROAD / ALBERT ROAD Open map	16	1	7	3	4

Freight Conflict Index

This section focuses on heavy-vehicle crash harm, vulnerable-road-user overlap and TIRTL freight exposure where available.

Plain-English freight signature: Baw Baw recorded 97 heavy-vehicle-involved crash records, 7 fatalities and 32 serious injuries. Heavy-vehicle crashes account for 6.5% of total weighted harm. There are 7 heavy-vehicle crashes overlapping with pedestrians, bicyclists or motorcyclists. No TIRTL-matched freight-corridor harm was available for this council in the current matching layer.

Open full Baw Baw freight-conflict page Statewide Freight Conflict Index

TIRTL freight-conflict sites

No records available for this table.

HV mechanism families

Mechanism	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	HV+VRU
Turning / crossing conflict	374	8	24	2
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	342	14	23	0
Other / mixed mechanism	242	5	15	3
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	68	6	12	1
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	60	5	15	0
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	17	1	7	1

Top heavy-vehicle crash locations

Location	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	HV+VRU
PRINCES FREEWAY / PRINCES IN-DROUIN-WARRAGUL OF RAMP Open map	124	3	1	0
PRINCES WAY / SAND ROAD Open map	101	1	1	0
CALWAY STREET / MEREDITH COURT Open map	100	1	1	1
MAIN NEERIM ROAD / MT BAW BAW TOURIST ROAD Open map	100	1	1	0
PRINCES HIGHWAY / ASHBY STREET Open map	100	1	1	1
PRINCES WAY / FRANCIS AVENUE Open map	100	1	1	0

Freight / vulnerable-road-user overlap locations

Location	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	Ped	Bike	Moto
CALWAY STREET / MEREDITH COURT Open map	100	1	1	1	0	0
PRINCES HIGHWAY / ASHBY STREET Open map	100	1	1	0	0	1
WATERLOO ROAD / WATERLOO ALT ROAD Open map	100	1	1	1	0	0
KING PARROT BOULEVARD / HORSETAIL WAY Open map	10	1	1	0	1	0

SCATS exposure-adjusted intersection league table

This section ranks signalised intersections by total road harm and by harm adjusted for observed SCATS movements.

Plain-English SCATS signal: No SCATS-matched signal-site exposure summary is available for this council.

Open full Baw Baw SCATS league table Statewide SCATS intersection league table

Top local SCATS sites by combined priority

No SCATS records available for this table.

Top eligible local SCATS sites by harm rate

No SCATS records available for this table.

Baw Baw crash map

Interactive self-contained Google Map showing crash records, fatal crashes, serious-injury crashes, vulnerable road-user crashes and heavy-vehicle crashes for this council area.

Map caveat: this is public-interest road-harm intelligence, not an engineering safety audit.

Open Baw Baw crash map in a full page

Baw Baw road-harm graphs

Large-format colour-coded graph pack showing this council's severity trend, harm composition, road-user involvement, top locations and exposure layers.

Annual severity trend

Crash records by year, stacked by fatal, serious injury and other injury severity.

Open full-size graph

Harm composition

Fatalities, serious injuries and other injuries in the official crash data.

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Road-user involvement

Pedestrian, bicycle, motorcycle and heavy-vehicle crash involvement.

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Top crash locations by harm

Highest weighted-harm locations in this council area.

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Statewide priority comparison

Combined priority score and statewide rank compared with other councils.

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Graph caveat: these are public-interest road-harm intelligence charts, not an engineering safety audit.

Baw Baw Street View quick links

Click a link to inspect the road environment in a new browser tab.

Top crash locations — Street View

Location	Summary	Street View	Google Maps
BULL SWAMP ROAD / BONA VISTA ALT ROAD	2 crashes; 2 fatal; 0 serious; harm 200	Street View	Google Maps
TRIG EAST TRACK / CMF TRACK	1 crashes; 2 fatal; 0 serious; harm 200	Street View	Google Maps
WALHALLA ROAD / HAPPY GO LUCKY ROAD	8 crashes; 1 fatal; 9 serious; harm 193	Street View	Google Maps
PRINCES HIGHWAY / RANKINS ROAD	5 crashes; 1 fatal; 7 serious; harm 173	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERNPORT ROAD / HANLEY ROAD	8 crashes; 1 fatal; 5 serious; harm 159	Street View	Google Maps
PRINCES HIGHWAY / ASHBY STREET	12 crashes; 1 fatal; 4 serious; harm 151	Street View	Google Maps
WILLOW GROVE ROAD / NORTH CANAL ROAD	1 crashes; 1 fatal; 5 serious; harm 150	Street View	Google Maps
PRINCES HIGHWAY / WATERLOO ALT ROAD	5 crashes; 1 fatal; 4 serious; harm 143	Street View	Google Maps
PRINCES FREEWAY / PRINCES IN-DROUIN-WARRAGUL OF RAMP	3 crashes; 1 fatal; 3 serious; harm 136	Street View	Google Maps
KORUMBURRA-WARRAGUL ROAD / WRIGHTS ROAD	8 crashes; 1 fatal; 3 serious; harm 135	Street View	Google Maps
MAIN SOUTH ROAD / PORTER PLACE	5 crashes; 1 fatal; 3 serious; harm 134	Street View	Google Maps
DONNELLYS CREEK ROAD / TOOMBON TRACK	2 crashes; 1 fatal; 3 serious; harm 131	Street View	Google Maps

SCATS signal-site exposure layer — Street View

SCATS site	Summary	Street View	Google Maps
No Street View links available.

Top crash locations

Ranked by weighted harm score. Weighting: fatality ×100, serious injury ×10, other injury ×1.

Rank	Location	Crashes	Fatalities	Serious injuries	Other injuries	Harm score	HV crashes	Ped	Bike	Moto
1	BULL SWAMP ROAD / BONA VISTA ALT ROAD	2	2	0	0	200	0	0	0	0
2	TRIG EAST TRACK / CMF TRACK	1	2	0	0	200	0	0	0	0
3	WALHALLA ROAD / HAPPY GO LUCKY ROAD	8	1	9	3	193	0	0	0	3
4	PRINCES HIGHWAY / RANKINS ROAD	5	1	7	3	173	0	0	0	1
5	WESTERNPORT ROAD / HANLEY ROAD	8	1	5	9	159	0	0	0	2
6	PRINCES HIGHWAY / ASHBY STREET	12	1	4	11	151	1	3	0	2
7	WILLOW GROVE ROAD / NORTH CANAL ROAD	1	1	5	0	150	0	0	0	0
8	PRINCES HIGHWAY / WATERLOO ALT ROAD	5	1	4	3	143	0	0	0	0
9	PRINCES FREEWAY / PRINCES IN-DROUIN-WARRAGUL OF RAMP	3	1	3	6	136	1	0	0	0
10	KORUMBURRA-WARRAGUL ROAD / WRIGHTS ROAD	8	1	3	5	135	1	0	0	2
11	MAIN SOUTH ROAD / PORTER PLACE	5	1	3	4	134	0	1	1	2
12	DONNELLYS CREEK ROAD / TOOMBON TRACK	2	1	3	1	131	0	0	0	1
13	BLOOMFIELD ROAD / RYRIES ROAD	6	1	2	4	124	0	0	0	0
14	THOMSON DAM ACCESS ROAD / SILVERTOP PICNIC AREA ROAD	5	1	2	4	124	0	0	0	3
15	BRANDY CREEK ROAD / OLD SALE ALT ROAD	3	1	2	4	124	0	0	0	1
16	OLD SALE ROAD / BEARDS TRACK	6	1	2	3	123	0	0	0	4
17	WESTERNPORT ROAD / GARDNER AND HOLMAN ROAD	6	1	2	3	123	0	0	0	0
18	WATERLOO ROAD / WATERLOO ALT ROAD	5	1	2	3	123	1	2	1	0
19	WESTERNPORT ROAD / TOLLEY ROAD	4	1	2	2	122	1	0	0	1
20	PRINCES FREEWAY / SAND ROAD	22	0	9	31	121	3	0	0	2
21	TYERS-WALHALLA ROAD / BLUFF ROAD	2	1	2	1	121	0	0	0	1
22	PRINCES WAY / WILTSHIRE ROAD	5	1	1	4	114	0	0	0	1
23	LABERTOUCHE NORTH ROAD / BUNYIP RIVER ROAD	4	1	1	3	113	0	0	0	2
24	DROUIN ROAD / CORDUROY ROAD	3	1	1	2	112	0	0	0	0
25	MIZPAH SETTLEMENT ROAD / TARA COURT	3	1	1	2	112	0	0	0	2

SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Crash records matched to nearby SCATS sites using the selected proximity radius. This is a signal/intersection-adjacent view, not full road-network attribution.

No rows available.

TIRTL freight-conflict layer

Heavy-vehicle crash records matched to nearby TIRTL freight monitoring sites. This is a freight-corridor candidate layer.

No rows available.

Road-user summaries

Pedestrian crash records

Bicycle crash records

764

Motorcycle crash records

Heavy-vehicle crash records