NG Council

Northern Grampians Road Harm Intelligence Report

Fatal and injury crash patterns, vulnerable road-user harm, heavy-vehicle involvement, SCATS exposure matching and TIRTL freight-conflict matching.

38 fatalities 269 serious injuries 144 VRU crash records 46 heavy-vehicle crash records

509

Crash records

Fatalities

269

Serious injuries

417

Other injuries

6,907

Weighted harm score

39.5

Priority score

Method caveat: This is a public-interest analytical report. It is not an engineering safety audit. Locations should be treated as candidates for further review.

Safety diagnosis

This section diagnoses the type of road-harm problem in Northern Grampians by crash mechanism, road environment, vulnerable-road-user involvement and heavy-vehicle involvement.

6,907

Weighted harm score

307

Fatal + serious injuries

6.5%

VRU share of harm

19.2%

Heavy-vehicle share of harm

76.5%

High-speed road harm share

23.9%

Intersection harm share

Plain-English diagnosis: Northern Grampians recorded 509 injury crash records, 38 fatalities and 269 serious injuries in the analysis period. The leading harm mechanism family is Turning / crossing conflict. Heavy-vehicle-involved crashes account for 19.2% of weighted harm, indicating a freight/conflict layer worth local review. High-speed roads account for 76.5% of weighted harm. Dark, dawn or dusk conditions account for 37.3% of weighted harm.

Top harm mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Turning / crossing conflict	191	105	2,310	33.4%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	140	80	1,702	24.6%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	39	47	1,585	22.9%
Other / mixed mechanism	80	45	675	9.8%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	30	16	363	5.3%
Pedestrian conflict	7	4	136	2.0%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	18	5	84	1.2%
Object / roadside impact	4	5	52	0.8%

Top fatal/serious mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Turning / crossing conflict	88	105	2,156	32.9%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	68	80	1,618	24.7%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	27	47	1,562	23.9%
Other / mixed mechanism	41	45	632	9.7%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	16	16	343	5.2%
Pedestrian conflict	3	4	131	2.0%
Object / roadside impact	4	5	52	0.8%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	4	5	52	0.8%

Vulnerable road-user mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Pedestrian conflict	7	4	136	30.4%
Turning / crossing conflict	6	2	116	26.0%
Other / mixed mechanism	16	8	89	19.9%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	4	6	62	13.9%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	3	2	23	5.1%
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	2	1	11	2.5%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	1	1	10	2.2%

Heavy-vehicle mechanism families

Mechanism family	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	13	19	916	69.0%
Other / mixed mechanism	8	7	162	12.2%
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	6	3	123	9.3%
Turning / crossing conflict	14	9	98	7.4%
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	3	1	16	1.2%
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	2	1	13	1.0%

Speed-zone harm profile

Speed category	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
High-speed roads (80+ km/h)	318	225	5,282	76.5%
Urban arterial roads (60–70 km/h)	101	41	1,051	15.2%
Unknown speed zone	44	21	329	4.8%
Local streets (50 km/h)	43	20	239	3.5%
Low-speed streets (≤40 km/h)	3	0	6	0.1%

Road-geometry harm profile

Road geometry	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Midblock / not at intersection	366	227	5,256	76.1%
Intersection	143	80	1,651	23.9%

Lighting harm profile

Lighting	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
Daylight	361	210	4,297	62.2%
Dark / street lights	99	76	2,085	30.2%
Dawn / dusk	41	18	488	7.1%
Other lighting	8	3	37	0.5%

Top detailed crash descriptions

Detailed crash description	Crashes	FSI	Harm	Share
HEAD ON (NOT OVERTAKING)	33	37	1,393	20.2%
LEFT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	67	45	1,122	16.2%
CROSS TRAFFIC(INTERSECTIONS ONLY)	59	28	794	11.5%
RIGHT OFF CARRIAGEWAY INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	44	32	614	8.9%
OFF RIGHT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	41	27	572	8.3%
OFF LEFT BEND INTO OBJECT/PARKED VEHICLE	25	15	349	5.1%
OUT OF CONTROL ON CARRIAGEWAY (ON STRAIGHT)	32	18	295	4.3%
STRUCK ANIMAL	32	20	216	3.1%

Caveat: This is a public-interest diagnostic layer. It identifies patterns for review and does not assign legal fault, engineering causation or treatment responsibility.

Emerging hotspots and worsening trends

This section compares recent road harm against the long-run baseline to identify patterns that may be getting worse.

Plain-English signal: Northern Grampians's recent annualised harm rate is 448.0 versus a baseline annualised rate of 523.1, a change of -75.0 harm-score points per year.

Open full Northern Grampians emerging-hotspots page Statewide emerging-hotspots index

Top local worsening locations

Location	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr	Recent FSI
WESTERN HIGHWAY / HOWARD ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	8.1	8.1	3
COOPER STREET / SLOANE STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	6.0	6.0	2
WESTERN HIGHWAY / ST GEORGE ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	5.7	5.7	2
ARARAT ROAD / SUTHERLAND STREET	Emerging from low baseline	0.0	5.2	5.2	2
GRAMPIANS ROAD / MT WILLIAM ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.4	5.2	3.8	2
WARTOOK ROAD / OLD MILL ROAD	Emerging from low baseline	1.6	5.2	3.6	2
LONGFIELD STREET / SEABY STREET	Strong worsening	2.9	7.0	4.2	2

Worsening mechanism families

Mechanism	Class	Baseline harm/yr	Recent harm/yr	Change/yr
Other / mixed mechanism	Strong worsening	49.5	94.5	45.0
Object / roadside impact	Emerging from low baseline	1.3	11.0	9.7
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	Watch	123.7	92.2	-31.5
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	Watch	129.9	85.1	-44.8

Comparison period

Baseline: 2012-2019
Recent: 2022-2025

Metrics are annualised. This is a statistical screening layer, not an engineering safety audit.

Vulnerable Road User Atlas

This section focuses on pedestrian, bicyclist, motorcyclist, school-age pedestrian/cyclist and older-pedestrian harm patterns where fields are available.

Plain-English VRU signature: Northern Grampians recorded 39 vulnerable-road-user crash records, 2 fatalities and 22 serious injuries. VRU crashes account for 7.7% of all recorded injury crashes and 6.5% of weighted harm. The largest VRU count group is bicyclists. School-age pedestrian/cyclist flags appear in 8 records. Older-pedestrian flags appear in 3 records.

Open full Northern Grampians VRU atlas page Statewide VRU atlas

VRU type breakdown

VRU type	Harm	FSI	Crashes
Bicyclist	224	12	23
Pedestrian	223	12	16
Older pedestrian	102	1	3
School-age pedestrian/cyclist	18	1	8
Motorcyclist	0	0	0

VRU mechanism families

Mechanism	Harm	FSI	Crashes
Other / mixed mechanism	225	12	23
Turning / crossing conflict	116	2	6
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	62	6	4
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	23	2	3
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	11	1	2
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	10	1	1

Top local VRU locations

Location	Harm	FSI	Crashes	Ped	Bike
MAIN STREET -SEABY STREET / FRAYNE STREET Open map	101	1	1	0	1
SCOTLAND PLACE / SLOANE STREET Open map	100	1	1	1	0
WESTERN HIGHWAY / NITSCHKE ROAD Open map	50	5	1	1	0
COOPER STREET / SLOANE STREET Open map	21	2	1	1	0
WESTERN HIGHWAY / HARVEY LANE Open map	12	1	1	1	0
NAPIER STREET / SLOANE STREET Open map	11	1	2	1	1
COLQUHOUN STREET / MAUD STREET Open map	10	1	1	0	1
GRAMPIANS ROAD / ARARAT-HALLS GAP ROAD Open map	10	1	1	0	1

Freight Conflict Index

This section focuses on heavy-vehicle crash harm, vulnerable-road-user overlap and TIRTL freight exposure where available.

Plain-English freight signature: Northern Grampians recorded 46 heavy-vehicle-involved crash records, 10 fatalities and 30 serious injuries. Heavy-vehicle crashes account for 19.2% of total weighted harm. There are 3 heavy-vehicle crashes overlapping with pedestrians, bicyclists or motorcyclists. No TIRTL-matched freight-corridor harm was available for this council in the current matching layer.

Open full Northern Grampians freight-conflict page Statewide Freight Conflict Index

TIRTL freight-conflict sites

No records available for this table.

HV mechanism families

Mechanism	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	HV+VRU
Lane-change / sideswipe conflict	916	19	13	0
Other / mixed mechanism	162	7	8	2
Run-off-road / loss-of-control	123	3	6	0
Turning / crossing conflict	98	9	14	0
Rear-end / same-lane conflict	16	1	3	0
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflict	13	1	2	1

Top heavy-vehicle crash locations

Location	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	HV+VRU
WESTERN HIGHWAY / HARVEY LANE Open map	336	6	5	1
WIMMERA HIGHWAY / BOYLE ROAD Open map	120	3	1	0
WESTERN HIGHWAY / NITSCHKE ROAD Open map	115	2	3	0
BANYENA ROAD / BANYENA SILO ROAD Open map	110	2	1	0
MAIN STREET / THOMLINSON STREET Open map	110	2	1	0
WESTERN HIGHWAY / CHURCHILL CROSSING ROAD Open map	110	2	1	0

Freight / vulnerable-road-user overlap locations

Location	Harm	FSI	HV crashes	Ped	Bike	Moto
WESTERN HIGHWAY / HARVEY LANE Open map	336	6	5	1	0	0
STAWELL-WARRACKNABEAL ROAD / TINSLEY ROAD Open map	10	1	1	0	1	0

SCATS exposure-adjusted intersection league table

This section ranks signalised intersections by total road harm and by harm adjusted for observed SCATS movements.

Plain-English SCATS signal: No SCATS-matched signal-site exposure summary is available for this council.

Open full Northern Grampians SCATS league table Statewide SCATS intersection league table

Top local SCATS sites by combined priority

No SCATS records available for this table.

Top eligible local SCATS sites by harm rate

No SCATS records available for this table.

Northern Grampians crash map

Interactive self-contained Google Map showing crash records, fatal crashes, serious-injury crashes, vulnerable road-user crashes and heavy-vehicle crashes for this council area.

Map caveat: this is public-interest road-harm intelligence, not an engineering safety audit.

Open Northern Grampians crash map in a full page

Northern Grampians road-harm graphs

Large-format colour-coded graph pack showing this council's severity trend, harm composition, road-user involvement, top locations and exposure layers.

Annual severity trend

Crash records by year, stacked by fatal, serious injury and other injury severity.

Open full-size graph

Harm composition

Fatalities, serious injuries and other injuries in the official crash data.

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Road-user involvement

Pedestrian, bicycle, motorcycle and heavy-vehicle crash involvement.

Open full-size graph

Top crash locations by harm

Highest weighted-harm locations in this council area.

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Statewide priority comparison

Combined priority score and statewide rank compared with other councils.

Open full-size graph

Graph caveat: these are public-interest road-harm intelligence charts, not an engineering safety audit.

Northern Grampians Street View quick links

Click a link to inspect the road environment in a new browser tab.

Top crash locations — Street View

Location	Summary	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN HIGHWAY / HARVEY LANE	11 crashes; 4 fatal; 5 serious; harm 461	Street View	Google Maps
STAWELL-AVOCA ROAD / ESCORT STREET	2 crashes; 4 fatal; 3 serious; harm 430	Street View	Google Maps
STAWELL-AVOCA ROAD / TAYLOR ROAD	2 crashes; 2 fatal; 0 serious; harm 200	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN HIGHWAY / NITSCHKE ROAD	4 crashes; 1 fatal; 6 serious; harm 165	Street View	Google Maps
ARARAT-HALLS GAP ROAD / NEAL ROAD	3 crashes; 1 fatal; 4 serious; harm 144	Street View	Google Maps
MAIN STREET / THOMLINSON STREET	3 crashes; 1 fatal; 4 serious; harm 142	Street View	Google Maps
WIMMERA HIGHWAY / BOYLE ROAD	3 crashes; 1 fatal; 3 serious; harm 132	Street View	Google Maps
WESTERN HIGHWAY / CODDS FLAT ROAD	1 crashes; 1 fatal; 3 serious; harm 131	Street View	Google Maps
ARARAT-HALLS GAP ROAD / GRAMPIANS ROAD	2 crashes; 1 fatal; 2 serious; harm 120	Street View	Google Maps
GRAMPIANS ROAD / SILVERBAND ROAD	6 crashes; 1 fatal; 1 serious; harm 117	Street View	Google Maps
MAIN STREET -SEABY STREET / FRAYNE STREET	5 crashes; 1 fatal; 1 serious; harm 117	Street View	Google Maps
MT ZERO ROAD / OSLERS TRACK	3 crashes; 1 fatal; 1 serious; harm 113	Street View	Google Maps

SCATS signal-site exposure layer — Street View

SCATS site	Summary	Street View	Google Maps
No Street View links available.

Top crash locations

Ranked by weighted harm score. Weighting: fatality ×100, serious injury ×10, other injury ×1.

Rank	Location	Crashes	Fatalities	Serious injuries	Other injuries	Harm score	HV crashes	Ped	Bike	Moto
1	WESTERN HIGHWAY / HARVEY LANE	11	4	5	11	461	5	1	0	0
2	STAWELL-AVOCA ROAD / ESCORT STREET	2	4	3	0	430	0	0	0	1
3	STAWELL-AVOCA ROAD / TAYLOR ROAD	2	2	0	0	200	0	0	0	0
4	WESTERN HIGHWAY / NITSCHKE ROAD	4	1	6	5	165	3	1	0	0
5	ARARAT-HALLS GAP ROAD / NEAL ROAD	3	1	4	4	144	0	0	0	0
6	MAIN STREET / THOMLINSON STREET	3	1	4	2	142	1	0	0	0
7	WIMMERA HIGHWAY / BOYLE ROAD	3	1	3	2	132	1	0	0	0
8	WESTERN HIGHWAY / CODDS FLAT ROAD	1	1	3	1	131	0	0	0	0
9	ARARAT-HALLS GAP ROAD / GRAMPIANS ROAD	2	1	2	0	120	0	0	0	0
10	GRAMPIANS ROAD / SILVERBAND ROAD	6	1	1	7	117	0	0	0	0
11	MAIN STREET -SEABY STREET / FRAYNE STREET	5	1	1	7	117	0	0	1	1
12	MT ZERO ROAD / OSLERS TRACK	3	1	1	3	113	0	0	0	0
13	GRAMPIANS ROAD / MT DRYDEN ROAD	2	1	1	3	113	0	0	0	0
14	GRAMPIANS ROAD / HONS ROAD	1	1	1	2	112	0	0	0	0
15	STAWELL-AVOCA ROAD / SYCAMORES ROAD	3	1	1	1	111	0	0	0	0
16	WESTERN HIGHWAY / OXFORD STREET	3	1	1	1	111	2	0	0	0
17	BANYENA ROAD / BANYENA SILO ROAD	1	1	1	0	110	1	0	0	0
18	JOEL JOEL ROAD / BULGANA ROAD	1	1	1	0	110	0	0	0	0
19	SUNRAYSIA HIGHWAY / COPE COPE ROAD	1	1	1	0	110	0	0	0	0
20	WESTERN HIGHWAY / CHURCHILL CROSSING ROAD	1	1	1	0	110	1	0	0	0
21	WESTERN HIGHWAY / KIMBARRA ROAD	2	1	0	1	101	0	0	0	0
22	GRAMPIANS ROAD / MT VICTORY ROAD	1	1	0	1	101	0	0	0	0
23	PIPETRACK ROAD / BLACK ROAD	1	1	0	1	101	0	0	0	0
24	GREENHOLE ROAD / PICKERING ROAD	1	1	0	0	100	0	0	0	1
25	HORSHAM ROAD / SALEYARDS ROAD	1	1	0	0	100	1	0	0	0

SCATS signal-site exposure layer

Crash records matched to nearby SCATS sites using the selected proximity radius. This is a signal/intersection-adjacent view, not full road-network attribution.

No rows available.

TIRTL freight-conflict layer

Heavy-vehicle crash records matched to nearby TIRTL freight monitoring sites. This is a freight-corridor candidate layer.

No rows available.

Road-user summaries

Pedestrian crash records

Bicycle crash records

105

Motorcycle crash records

Heavy-vehicle crash records