Surf Coast Emerging Road-Harm Hotspots

Baseline 2012-2019 versus recent 2022-2025. Metrics are annualised to compare periods.

Caveat: Statistical screening layer only. Use this to identify patterns for review, not to assign causation.

Council worsening summary

CouncilClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yrRecent crashes
Surf CoastMajor worsening831.0998.1167.1363

Worsening locations

LocationClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yrRecent FSI
DEANS MARSH-LORNE ROAD / CARRONG TRACKEmerging from low baseline0.034.534.54
PRINCES HIGHWAY / DEVON ROADStrong worsening15.044.929.98
GREAT OCEAN ROAD / ELLIMATTA ROADEmerging from low baseline0.031.931.93
CAPE OTWAY ROAD / RESERVOIR ROADStrong worsening2.921.718.88
GHAZEEPORE ROAD / DICKINS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.119.319.27
COOMBES ROAD / MESSMATE ROADEmerging from low baseline0.016.216.26
PRINCES HIGHWAY WEST / PRINCES HIGHWAYEmerging from low baseline1.416.415.16
MT DUNEED ROAD / BOGANS LANEEmerging from low baseline1.313.312.15
GREAT OCEAN ROAD / BELLS BOULEVARDEmerging from low baseline0.010.710.74
LOWER DUNEED ROAD / CHARLEMONT ROADStrong worsening5.314.18.85
GREAT OCEAN ROAD / POINT ADDIS ROADStrong worsening2.811.08.24
WINKI WAY / CYLINDERS DRIVEEmerging from low baseline0.08.68.63
BLACKGATE ROAD / BREAMLEA ROADEmerging from low baseline0.07.87.83
DICKINS ROAD / GHAZEEPORE ROADEmerging from low baseline0.07.87.83
MT DUNEED ROAD / LOWER DUNEED ROADEmerging from low baseline0.07.87.83
GREAT OCEAN ROAD / HERSCHELL ROADStrong worsening7.114.67.55
THE ESPLANADE / BEACH ROADStrong worsening2.57.85.33
ANGLESEA ROAD / MCINTYRES ROADEmerging from low baseline0.05.55.52
WINCHELSEA-DEANS MARSH ROAD / COALMINE ROADEmerging from low baseline0.05.55.52
BEACH ROAD / FISCHER STREETEmerging from low baseline0.15.55.42
MOGGS CREEK TRACK / CLARK SPUR TRACKEmerging from low baseline0.05.25.22
WILLOWITE ROAD / BLACKGATE ROADEmerging from low baseline0.05.25.22
WINCHELSEA-DEANS MARSH ROAD / BRICKMAKERS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.05.25.22
GEELONG ROAD -SURF COAST HIGHWAY / GROSSMANS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.45.55.12
GREAT OCEAN ROAD / GOLF LINKS ROADModerate worsening32.835.02.24
GREAT OCEAN ROAD / GUNDRYS ROADModerate worsening4.48.13.73
HENDY MAIN ROAD / BRUSHFIELDS ROADEmerging from low baseline1.45.54.12
SURF COAST HIGHWAY / BLACKGATE ROADModerate worsening5.810.24.43
Unknown locationStrong worsening2.55.73.22
OCEAN ROAD / HALL STREETStrong worsening2.65.73.12

Worsening vulnerable-road-user locations

LocationClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yr
BEACH ROAD / FISCHER STREETEmerging from low baseline0.05.25.2
GEELONG ROAD -SURF COAST HIGHWAY / GROSSMANS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.05.25.2
GREAT OCEAN ROAD / GUNDRYS ROADEmerging from low baseline0.05.25.2
HORSESHOE BEND ROAD / SOUTH BEACH ROADStrong worsening0.13.13.0
BELLS BEACH ROAD / BELLS BEACH ROADStrong worsening0.02.92.9
FEDERAL STREET / LIGHTHOUSE ROADStrong worsening0.02.92.9
GEELONG ROAD / BEACH ROADStrong worsening0.02.92.9
BAMBRA ROAD / BEACH ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
BETLEIGH STREET / LUBEL STREETStrong worsening0.02.62.6
COWRIE ROAD / FISCHER STREETStrong worsening0.02.62.6
HORSESHOE BEND ROAD / BLACKGATE ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
PINTAIL DRIVE / HORSESHOE BEND ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
SURF COAST HIGHWAY / COOMBES ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
SURFCOAST HIGHWAY / SURF COAST HIGHWAYStrong worsening0.02.62.6
THE ESPLANADE / BEACH ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
Unknown locationStrong worsening0.02.62.6
WILLOWITE ROAD / BLACKGATE ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
FISCHER STREET / CENTRESIDE DRIVEStrong worsening0.12.62.5
THE ESPLANADE / COWRIE ROADStrong worsening0.12.62.5
MOUNTJOY PARADE / OTWAY STREETStrong worsening1.33.11.9

Worsening heavy-vehicle locations

LocationClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yr
DEANS MARSH-LORNE ROAD / CARRONG TRACKEmerging from low baseline0.033.933.9
ANGLESEA ROAD / MOORES ROADEmerging from low baseline0.031.631.6
HENDY MAIN ROAD / HEIDI ROADEmerging from low baseline0.026.126.1
BUCKLEY ROAD S / BUCKLEY N ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
HENDY MAIN ROAD / GRASSDALE ROADStrong worsening0.02.62.6
PRINCES HIGHWAY WEST / PRINCES HIGHWAYStrong worsening0.02.62.6

Worsening mechanism families

MechanismClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yr
Turning / crossing conflictMajor worsening314.7397.482.6
Lane-change / sideswipe conflictMajor worsening161.6230.869.2
Other / mixed mechanismStrong worsening83.4131.347.9
Parked-vehicle / roadside conflictWatch65.057.4-7.6
Rear-end / same-lane conflictWatch55.947.5-8.4

Worsening speed-zone categories

Speed categoryClassBaseline harm/yrRecent harm/yrChange/yr
High-speed roads (80+ km/h)Major worsening581.6702.6121.0
Local streets (50 km/h)Strong worsening60.992.932.0
Urban arterial roads (60–70 km/h)Moderate worsening107.3123.215.9
Low-speed streets (≤40 km/h)Moderate worsening6.612.35.6